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Real estate Score 65 Neutral

Home Flipping Profits Plummet to Lowest Level Since Great Recession, Data Shows

Mar 24, 2026 14:05 UTC
XLRE, SPHB, MORT
Short term

Home flippers earned a record-low average gross profit of $65,981 last year, marking a 25.5% return on investment, according to ATTOM data, signaling a significant downturn in real estate speculation activity.

  • Average gross profit from home flips: $65,981
  • Return on investment: 25.5%
  • Lowest profit level since the Great Recession
  • ATTOM data source for real estate performance metrics
  • Impacts on homebuilders, mortgage lenders, and REITs
  • Stocks affected: XLRE, SPHB, MORT

Home flipping has become far less lucrative, with investors now pocketing just $65,981 in gross profit per transaction on average in 2025, according to real estate data firm ATTOM. This represents the smallest profit margin since the Great Recession, underscoring a marked shift in housing market dynamics. The 25.5% return on investment—down sharply from previous years—reflects mounting pressure from elevated mortgage rates, rising construction costs, and declining demand for residential properties. The data highlights a broader slowdown in speculative real estate activity, which could have ripple effects across related sectors including homebuilding, mortgage finance, and real estate investment trusts. With flipping margins tightening, investors are likely reevaluating entry into the market, potentially reducing transaction volumes and impacting construction and materials demand. The trend may influence performance for publicly traded real estate assets such as XLRE and SPHB, which track real estate and high-dividend equity sectors, respectively. Mortgage finance firms represented by MORT may also face headwinds as fewer short-term property trades could reduce refinancing and lending activity. While the immediate market impact remains contained, the sustained decline in flipping profitability may signal deeper structural changes in the housing market.

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