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Micron's Stock Faces Short-Term Setback Amid HBM Market Growth

Apr 03, 2026 21:25 UTC
MU, GOOGL, ^GSPC
Short term

Micron's stock has experienced a recent sell-off, but analysts argue the high-bandwidth memory bottleneck remains a long-term opportunity. The semiconductor sector continues to see strong demand for HBM, despite a new algorithm from Google.

  • Micron's stock has declined over 20% from its peak due to Google's AI breakthrough.
  • Google's TurboQuant algorithm reduces memory size needs by six times but is open-source, allowing broader industry use.
  • The HBM market is projected to grow from $35 billion in 2025 to $100 billion by 2028.
  • Micron currently fulfills only half to two-thirds of its HBM orders, indicating ongoing supply constraints.
  • Micron's quarterly revenue has increased from $13.6 billion to $23.9 billion in the past two quarters.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.2, suggesting potential value for investors.

Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) has seen its stock decline by over 20% from its peak, driven by a recent breakthrough from Google in artificial intelligence (AI) that has sparked concerns about reduced demand for memory chips. However, industry observers suggest the long-term fundamentals for the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market remain robust. Google's new algorithm, TurboQuant, claims to reduce the memory size required for AI models by six times. While this innovation has raised questions about the future demand for HBM, experts argue that the algorithm's open-source nature will lead to broader industry adoption and new use cases, rather than a reduction in overall demand. The HBM market is expected to grow significantly, with Micron estimating its value at $35 billion in 2025 and projecting it to reach $100 billion by 2028. Despite this growth, Micron currently struggles to meet existing demand, fulfilling only between half to two-thirds of its orders. The company's recent quarterly revenue figures highlight its rapid expansion, with $23.9 billion in the most recent quarter, up from $13.6 billion the prior quarter. Analysts believe the HBM bottleneck will persist, keeping memory chip prices elevated and supporting Micron's growth trajectory. The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 6.2, making it an attractive option for investors seeking exposure to the AI-driven semiconductor sector.

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