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Bernstein Analysts Predict Figure Technology's Stock Could Double Amid Growth in Tokenized Credit Platform

Apr 06, 2026 16:23 UTC
FIGR, ^VIX
Medium term

Bernstein analysts have upgraded Figure Technology with an 'Outperform' rating and a $67 price target, nearly double its current level, citing strong loan origination growth and expansion of its tokenized credit platform.

  • Bernstein analysts upgraded Figure Technology with an 'Outperform' rating and a $67 price target.
  • Figure originated $1.2 billion in loans in March, a 33% increase from the previous month.
  • First-quarter originations reached $2.9 billion, more than doubling from a year earlier.
  • The company uses the Provenance blockchain to reduce loan processing costs by 117 basis points.
  • Figure's stock has declined more than 20% this year despite strong loan growth.
  • Bernstein values Figure at 25 times its projected 2027 EBITDA, above existing digital asset companies.

Bernstein analysts have issued a bullish outlook for Figure Technology Solutions, a blockchain-based lending platform, following a significant increase in loan originations and expansion of its tokenized credit platform. In a recent report, the firm assigned the company an 'Outperform' rating and set a $67 price target, which is nearly double the stock's recent trading price of around $32. This recommendation comes after Figure originated $1.2 billion in loans in March, a 33% increase from the previous month and the first time monthly volumes exceeded $1 billion. The company primarily focuses on home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), which it processes more efficiently using the Provenance blockchain, reducing costs by 117 basis points per loan. First-quarter originations reached $2.9 billion, more than doubling from a year earlier, and the company is now tracking roughly $12 billion in annualized loan volume. Despite these positive developments, Figure's stock has declined more than 20% this year, reflecting broader volatility in digital asset-linked stocks and sector-specific pressures. Bernstein's valuation of the company at 25 times its projected 2027 EBITDA highlights its structural prospects as both a tokenization platform and a profitable lending business. However, the analysts also noted potential risks, including sensitivity to mortgage refinancing trends and increasing pressure in the private credit market.

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