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ADI Analog Devices, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH
ADI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductors
Current Price
$234.89
Analyst Target
$269.91
+14.9% Upside
52W High
$258.13
52W Low
$158.65

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
Analog Devices (ADI) demonstrates strong fundamental momentum with robust 24.6% YoY revenue growth and 31.6% earnings growth, underpinned by consistent quarterly earnings beats (22 of 25 quarters) and expanding margins. Despite a high P/E of 59.92, the stock trades at a discount to its forward P/E of 31.15, reflecting strong earnings trajectory and a favorable sector context where ADI’s valuation appears reasonable versus the Technology sector’s average P/E of 160.55. The company maintains solid financial health with a low debt/equity ratio of 0.26 and healthy liquidity, while analyst consensus strongly supports upside with a $269.91 target implying 15% appreciation. However, recent insider selling—$25.13M in sales by executives and directors—raises caution, though it does not override the broader positive fundamentals and growth outlook.

Key Strengths

24.6% YoY revenue growth and 31.6% YoY earnings growth significantly outpace the Technology sector average of 19.25% revenue growth
Consistent earnings execution: 22 of 25 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of 6.77% over the last four quarters
Exceptional gross margin of 60.15%, reflecting strong pricing power and cost discipline in the high-performance analog semiconductor space
Superior financial health with debt/equity of 0.26, well below the sector average of 0.79, and current ratio of 2.32 indicating strong liquidity
Attractive valuation relative to peers: despite a high trailing P/E, forward P/E of 31.15 is well below sector average of 160.55 and implies strong earnings inflection

Key Risks

Elevated trailing P/E of 59.92 suggests potential overvaluation if growth slows or macro conditions deteriorate
Payout ratio of 97.20% is extremely high, leaving minimal margin for dividend sustainability if earnings dip
Recent insider selling totaling $25.13M over the past six months, including sales by CEO and directors, signals potential lack of confidence at the top
Limited cash flow data (missing Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow) creates opacity in capital allocation and reinvestment capacity
ROE of 5.65% is weak relative to sector average of 27.65% and peers like ADBE (52.88%) and TXN (29.76%), indicating inefficient use of equity capital
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$269.91
+14.9% above current price

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