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AEP American Electric Power Company, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH
AEP Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Utilities Utilities - Regulated Electric
Current Price
$121.3
Analyst Target
$127.32
+5.0% Upside
52W High
$123.31
52W Low
$89.91

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
American Electric Power (AEP) trades near its 52-week high with strong multi-year price momentum, underpinned by consistent profitability, disciplined capital allocation, and a favorable regulatory footprint. Despite modest near-term earnings growth, the company outperforms peers on ROE (12.92% vs sector avg 9.86%) and maintains superior operating margins (25.89%) within a stable, asset-heavy utility framework. Valuation remains reasonable relative to higher-multiple peers like NEE and SO, while the 3.13% dividend yield and 54.5% payout ratio support income appeal. Analysts unanimously recommend the stock with a $127.32 target, implying 5% upside, though insider selling over the past six months presents a minor counter-signal.

Key Strengths

ROE of 12.92% significantly exceeds sector average of 9.86%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital
Operating margin of 25.89% is among the highest in the peer group, indicating strong cost control and pricing power
Dividend yield of 3.13% is attractive within the sector and well-covered by a 54.47% payout ratio
Revenue growth of 10.90% YoY outpaces peer average of 5.87%, driven by rate base expansion and demand tailwinds
Analyst consensus is strongly aligned with a 'buy' rating from 17 analysts and a $127.32 mean target price

Key Risks

Earnings growth of 0.60% YoY is anemic despite strong revenue growth, raising margin compression concerns
Debt/Equity of 1.52 is elevated but within sector norms; however, refinancing risk looms in a higher-for-longer rate environment
Current ratio of 0.69 and quick ratio of 0.42 indicate tight short-term liquidity, below the 1.0 threshold for safety
Insider activity has been uniformly bearish with $4.65M in net sales over the past six months, potentially signaling caution at the top
Forward P/E of 20.59 is above historical levels and implies limited margin of safety if growth disappoints
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$127.32
+5.0% above current price

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