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AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH
AMAT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Current Price
$226.01
Analyst Target
$238.41
+5.5% Upside
52W High
$242.5
52W Low
$123.74

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
Applied Materials (AMAT) trades at a premium valuation with strong profitability and solid financial health, supported by robust analyst sentiment and a favorable long-term price trajectory. Despite a modest YoY revenue decline of 3.5%, earnings growth of 13.5% and industry-leading margins highlight operational efficiency and pricing power within the semiconductor equipment space. The stock’s valuation appears justified relative to peers, particularly given its ROE of 35.51%—well above the sector average of 27.62%—and disciplined capital allocation with a low payout ratio of 19.86%. While near-term insider selling is a minor concern, the broader technical momentum remains strong, with a 5Y return of +217.2% underscoring sustained investor confidence.

Key Strengths

ROE of 35.51% significantly exceeds sector average of 27.62%
Operating margin of 27.84% reflects pricing power and cost discipline in capital-intensive industry
Debt/Equity of 0.32 indicates conservative leverage relative to sector average of 0.74
Free cash flow generation implied by high operating margin and strong ROA of 14.97%
Analyst target price of $238.41 implies 5.5% upside, supported by 32 analysts rating it a 'buy'

Key Risks

Revenue growth of -3.5% YoY signals near-term cyclical headwinds in semiconductor capex
Forward P/E of 23.32 is high relative to historical norms, increasing sensitivity to growth misses
Insider selling activity (1 transaction, $0.10M) raises minor governance concern despite small size
Price/Book of 8.79 is elevated, suggesting limited margin of safety in case of tech multiple compression
Earnings surprise history shows 0/4 beats over last four quarters, indicating potential earnings quality concerns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$238.41
+5.5% above current price

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