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AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
AMD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductors
Current Price
$246.81
Analyst Target
$276.76
+12.1% Upside
52W High
$267.08
52W Low
$76.48

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
AMD trades at a significant premium to historical norms and peers with a P/E of 129.9x and forward P/E of 48.4x, despite robust YoY revenue growth of 35.6% and earnings growth of 60.3%, signaling strong execution in high-growth segments like data center and AI. However, profitability metrics remain below sector averages—ROE of 5.32% vs. sector avg of 27.62%, and profit margin of 10.32% vs. 16.86%—raising concerns about capital efficiency and pricing power relative to peers like MU and PLTR. Price momentum remains strong with a 1Y return of +77.8% and 5Y return of +194.8%, but insider selling worth $51.87M over the last six months introduces caution. Analysts maintain a 'buy' consensus with a $276.76 target, implying ~12% upside, though valuation appears stretched even within a high-growth tech context.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth of 35.6% YoY, outpacing sector average of 20.77% and positioning AMD favorably in AI and data center expansion
Strong earnings growth of 60.3% YoY, reflecting operating leverage and cost discipline amid rising demand for high-performance computing
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.06, indicating conservative capital structure and minimal refinancing risk
Gross margin of 51.46%, demonstrating pricing power and efficient manufacturing in competitive semiconductor landscape
Analyst consensus remains 'buy' with 43 analysts tracking, suggesting institutional confidence in future execution

Key Risks

Elevated P/E of 129.9x and forward P/E of 48.4x, creating vulnerability to multiple contraction if growth slows or macro conditions deteriorate
ROE of 5.32% and ROA of 2.60% significantly lag sector averages (27.62% and ~15% implied), indicating weak returns on capital deployment
Insider selling activity: $51.87M in sales over last 6 months with zero buys, suggesting lack of confidence among executives
Valuation multiples (Price/Sales of 12.6x, Price/Book of 6.61x) are stretched even versus high-growth peers like PLTR and MU
Missing quarterly earnings data and lack of earnings surprise history limit visibility into earnings quality and predictability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$276.76
+12.1% above current price

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