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ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH
ORLY Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts
Current Price
$98.8
Analyst Target
$110.0
+11.3% Upside
52W High
$108.72
52W Low
$78.3

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) trades at a premium valuation with strong long-term price momentum (5Y +221.3%) and solid earnings growth (YoY EPS +11.8%), supported by best-in-class margins and ROA of 13.66%. Despite a concerning insider sell-off of $15.78M in the last six months and a weak current ratio of 0.76, the company outperforms peers in profitability and growth execution. ORLY’s P/E of 34.31 is high but justified relative to sector average of 57.61 and supported by consistent double-digit earnings growth and a buy-rated analyst consensus. The stock is near its 52-week low with a 21% 1Y return, offering a potential entry point ahead of mean-reverting price strength.

Key Strengths

Operating margin of 20.74% significantly exceeds sector average of 11.81%
Gross margin of 51.47% reflects strong pricing power and supply chain efficiency
ROA of 13.66% demonstrates superior asset utilization vs peers
Revenue growth of 7.8% and earnings growth of 12.6% YoY show resilient demand
Analyst target price of $110 implies 11.3% upside from current $98.80 level

Key Risks

Current ratio of 0.76 and quick ratio of 0.09 indicate severe liquidity constraints
Insider net selling of $15.78M over 6 months signals leadership skepticism
Price/Book of -93.56 suggests negative book value, raising balance sheet concerns
Forward P/E of 2.20 appears implausibly low, indicating potential data error or earnings spike
Only 1 earnings beat in last 4 quarters, with recent negative EPS surprises eroding confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$110.0
+11.3% above current price

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