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PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
PLTR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Infrastructure
Current Price
$174.01
Analyst Target
$184.88
+6.2% Upside
52W High
$207.52
52W Low
$58.85

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
Palantir Technologies trades at an exceptionally high valuation with a P/E of 1740x and Price/Sales of 105x, significantly above sector averages, which creates substantial downside risk despite robust 62.8% YoY revenue growth and 200% earnings growth. The company exhibits elite profitability with 80.8% gross margins and 33.3% operating margins, outperforming most software peers, while maintaining a fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage (Debt/Equity: 0.04) and strong liquidity (Current Ratio: 6.43). However, the complete lack of earnings estimate beats over the past four quarters, coupled with sustained insider selling totaling $188.66M in the last six months, raises concerns about near-term execution and sentiment. While long-term price momentum remains strong with a 3-year return of +1986.5%, recent underperformance (-3.1% over 1M) and stretched valuations relative to even high-growth peers like AMD and MU suggest limited near-term upside unless growth accelerates materially.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth at 62.8% YoY, significantly above sector average of 20.77%
Industry-leading profitability with 80.81% gross margin and 33.30% operating margin
Superior return metrics: ROE of 19.50% outpaces CRM (11.20%) and MU (17.20%)
Extremely low leverage with Debt/Equity of just 0.04, well below sector average of 0.74
Strong liquidity profile: Current Ratio of 6.43 and Quick Ratio of 6.31 indicate no near-term financial risk

Key Risks

Extremely elevated valuation: P/E of 1740x and Price/Sales of 105.3x are outliers even among high-growth tech peers
No earnings estimate beats in the last four quarters, signaling potential forecasting or execution issues
Sustained insider selling: $188.66M in director-level sales over the past 6 months, indicating bearish sentiment from insiders
Analyst consensus is only 'hold' despite strong growth, suggesting skepticism about sustainability or valuation
PEG Ratio and ROIC data unavailable, limiting full assessment of growth efficiency and capital allocation
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$185.0
+6.3% above current price

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