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ABBV AbbVie Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
ABBV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Healthcare Drug Manufacturers - General
Current Price
$232.36
Analyst Target
$243.55
+4.8% Upside
52W High
$244.81
52W Low
$163.81

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
AbbVie trades at a premium valuation with strong historical profitability and cash flow generation, but faces significant near-term headwinds including a collapsing earnings base, elevated payout ratio, and weakening insider sentiment. While the stock has delivered impressive price performance over the past five years (+187.1%), recent quarterly earnings have been volatile, with two of the last four misses exceeding -55% in surprise. The company's P/E of 176x and negative Price/Book reflect structural challenges post-divestiture and high leverage, offsetting its attractive 2.98% dividend yield and robust operating margins. Relative to peers like MRK and ABT, AbbVie appears overvalued on earnings despite stronger revenue growth (9.1% vs sector avg 11.82%), though forward P/E of 19.16 suggests some normalization ahead.

Key Strengths

Operating Margin of 35.50% significantly exceeds sector average of 17.31% and peer group (MRK: 39.48%, ABT: ~25%)
Gross Margin of 71.46% reflects pricing power and low production costs typical of branded pharmaceuticals
Revenue Growth of 9.10% YoY outpaces key peers MRK (3.7%) and TMO (4.9%)
ROE of 137.96% is exceptionally high, indicating aggressive leverage and efficient equity use, far above sector avg of 31.65%
Analyst consensus recommendation is Buy with a $243.55 target, implying 4.8% upside

Key Risks

Earnings Growth YoY down -88.70% and Q/Q down -88.10%, signaling severe profitability contraction
P/E Ratio of 176.03 is extremely elevated, driven by collapsing earnings rather than price appreciation
Price/Book of -155.42 indicates negative book value, likely due to accumulated deficits or massive share buybacks exceeding equity base
Payout Ratio of 490.15% implies dividend is not sustainably covered by earnings, raising future cut risk
Insider activity shows net selling of $11.05M in last 6 months, including large COO sale, signaling internal caution
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$243.55
+4.8% above current price

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