APD Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
APD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
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Basic Materials
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Specialty Chemicals
Current Price
$259.34
Analyst Target
$310.76
+19.8% Upside
52W High
$341.14
52W Low
$235.55
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
Air Products and Chemicals (APD) trades at a significant discount to its 52-week high (-23.9%) amid deteriorating earnings momentum, with YoY and Q/Q EPS declines exceeding -99% and a recent earnings miss of -99.4%. While the company maintains strong operating margins (25.23%) and a solid balance sheet with manageable leverage (Debt/Equity: 1.06), its profitability metrics are severely distorted by negative net income and ROE (-1.92%), raising sustainability concerns. The stock is attractively valued relative to peer Linde (LIN) on a forward P/E basis (18.3x vs 28.3x), but the 101% payout ratio and collapsing earnings cast doubt on dividend durability. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $310.76 target implying 19.8% upside, though insider selling and weak earnings momentum suggest caution.
Key Strengths
Operating margin of 25.23% remains robust and above peer average (Linde: ~20%)
Forward P/E of 18.30 is materially below sector average of 28.32, offering valuation cushion
Debt/Equity of 1.06 is manageable within the capital-intensive gases sector
Dividend yield of 2.76% is above peer LIN and provides income appeal in volatile markets
Current Ratio of 1.38 and Quick Ratio of 1.05 indicate adequate short-term liquidity
Key Risks
Profit margin of -3.28% and ROE of -1.92% signal severe profitability deterioration
Earnings growth YoY of -99.8% and Q/Q EPS drop of -99.4% reflect a near-collapse in earnings power
Payout ratio of 100.99% indicates dividend is no longer covered by earnings, threatening sustainability
Recent insider selling: Officer sold $0.4M, signaling lack of confidence during earnings crisis
Revenue growth of -0.6% YoY shows stagnation amid peer average growth of +3.1%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$310.76
+19.8% above current price
Performance Snowflake
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Stock Price & Analyst Targets
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Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
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Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
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Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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