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CTVA Corteva, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
CTVA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Basic Materials Agricultural Inputs
Current Price
$66.0
Analyst Target
$77.71
+17.7% Upside
52W High
$77.41
52W Low
$53.4

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Corteva (CTVA) trades at a premium valuation with mixed profitability trends and strong recent earnings surprises, though near-term earnings growth remains challenged. The stock has underperformed over the past six months (-3.3%) despite solid 1-year and 5-year returns (+16.1%, +85.9%), reflecting macro pressures in agricultural inputs. While revenue growth of 12.6% outpaces the sector average of 6.16%, negative operating margins (-10.31%) and volatile quarterly EPS performance raise concerns about execution and cost structure. Analysts are constructive with a $77.71 target implying 17.7% upside, but recent insider selling adds caution, offsetting an otherwise healthy balance sheet and sustainable dividend policy.

Key Strengths

Revenue growth of 12.6% significantly exceeds sector average of 6.16%
Gross margin of 46.11% reflects strong pricing power and product mix in seed and crop protection
Debt/Equity of 0.17 is well below sector average of 1.28, indicating conservative capital structure
Analyst target price of $77.71 implies 17.7% upside, supported by 21 analysts rating 'buy'
Dividend payout ratio of 27.94% is sustainable with low distribution risk

Key Risks

Operating margin of -10.31% indicates severe cost or restructuring pressures despite top-line growth
Negative Q/Q EPS growth of -121.4% raises concerns about near-term profitability trajectory
Forward P/E of 20.56 is high relative to subpar ROE of 6.71% and negative operating margins
Recent insider selling of $2.77M suggests lack of confidence from corporate officers
ROE of 6.71% lags far behind sector average of 20.22%, signaling inefficient capital use
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$77.71
+17.7% above current price

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