DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
DLR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Real Estate
•
REIT - Specialty
Current Price
$158.18
Analyst Target
$199.19
+25.9% Upside
52W High
$198.0
52W Low
$129.95
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
Digital Realty Trust (DLR) trades at a significant premium to its forward earnings with a Forward P/E of 130.73, raising valuation concerns despite strong recent earnings surprises and solid 11.1% YoY revenue growth. The stock has underperformed over the past year (-8.6%) and near-term, with a sharp -9.7% monthly decline, contrasting its stronger 3Y return of +57.2%. While profitability metrics like gross margin (54.81%) and operating leverage are above sector averages, the elevated payout ratio (126.42%) and insider selling signal caution. Analysts remain constructive with a $199.19 target implying ~26% upside, but conflicting signals between growth momentum and stretched valuation support a neutral stance.
Key Strengths
Gross margin of 54.81% significantly exceeds sector average of ~23.57%, reflecting pricing power and cost discipline in data center operations
Revenue growth of 11.10% YoY aligns with sector average (11.17%) and outpaces peers like EQIX (6.6%) and PSA (3.1%)
Recent earnings trajectory shows strong recovery with 3 beats in last 4 quarters and average surprise of 272.15%, driven by data center demand tailwinds
Debt/Equity of 0.79 is well below sector average of 1.43, indicating conservative capital structure relative to peers
Dividend yield of 3.09% is attractive in current rate environment and supported by stable cash flows from long-term leases
Key Risks
Forward P/E of 130.73 is extremely elevated, suggesting overvaluation unless near-term earnings accelerate dramatically
Payout ratio of 126.42% exceeds 100%, indicating dividend is not fully covered by earnings and may be unsustainable without FFO growth
Q/Q EPS growth of -88.4% reveals high volatility and potential weakness in sequential earnings momentum despite strong YoY growth
Insider selling activity totaling $10.19M over last 6 months, including large CEO sale, signals lack of confidence at executive level
ROE of 5.83% lags sector average of 11.28% and key peers like AMT (28.84%) and PSA (19.93%), indicating suboptimal capital efficiency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$185.5
+17.3% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare DLR against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations