Search Results

FICO Fair Isaac Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH
FICO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Technology Software - Application
Current Price
$1741.37
Analyst Target
$2016.44
+15.8% Upside
52W High
$2400.0
52W Low
$1300.0

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
FICO demonstrates elite profitability and consistent earnings outperformance, supported by strong double-digit revenue and earnings growth, positioning it favorably within the high-margin software application sector. Despite a 25% pullback over the past year, the stock shows signs of stabilization with a 6.4% rebound in the last six months and positive near-term momentum. Valuation remains rich but justifiable given superior margins—particularly the 48.1% operating margin and 82.2% gross margin—relative to peers trading at higher multiples despite weaker fundamentals. Analysts reflect confidence with a $2016 target implying 15.7% upside, though insider selling activity presents a notable counter-signal.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with 48.1% operating margin, significantly above sector average of 16.85%
High gross margin of 82.23%, indicative of scalable, asset-light software business model
Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with 5-year history of frequent positive surprises (average +15% surprise in 2020–2022)
Strong ROA of 32.62%, reflecting efficient use of assets to generate profit
Revenue growth of 13.6% YoY outpaces several large-cap peers including FI (0.9%) and NXPI (-2.4%)

Key Risks

Elevated valuation with P/E of 65.8 and Price/Sales of 20.7, creating vulnerability to multiple contraction in rising rate environments
Negative Price/Book of -23.70 suggests intangible-heavy balance sheet and potential accounting complexity or stock-based compensation drag
Insider selling pressure: $54.5M in CEO sales over last 6 months signals lack of confidence at the top
Weak liquidity profile with current ratio of 0.83 and quick ratio of 0.78, below 1.0 safety threshold
Near-term earnings deceleration: most recent Q/Q EPS growth was -9.7%, indicating possible softness in sequential momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2016.0
+15.8% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories

Unlock AI-Powered Analysis

See Value, Future Performance, Past Performance, Financial Health & Dividend scores

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Unlock Price Charts

View historical price trends and analyst targets

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Unlock Historical Data

View 3-year revenue, profit margins, and growth trends

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

Sign up to view

P/E, P/B, P/S, EV/EBITDA and more

Profitability, Growth & Financial Health

Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics

Unlock Detailed Metrics

View ROE, Operating Margin, Debt/Equity, Current Ratio and more

Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

Compare FICO against industry averages and similar companies

Unlock Sector Insights

See how FICO compares to competitors and industry standards

Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings

Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations

Unlock Insider Data

See recent insider buys/sells and analyst price targets

See the full FICO analysis

Free signup • Unlock all metrics • No credit card required