GIS General Mills, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
GIS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Consumer Defensive
•
Packaged Foods
Current Price
$47.41
Analyst Target
$53.53
+12.9% Upside
52W High
$67.4
52W Low
$45.8
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
General Mills (GIS) trades at a steep discount to peers with a P/E of 8.96 versus a sector average of 22.53, supported by a robust 5.15% dividend yield and strong earnings execution, having beaten estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. However, the stock faces persistent headwinds from -6.80% YoY revenue growth and declining top-line momentum over the past three years, with 3Y and 1Y price returns of -31.6% and -23.4%, respectively. While profitability remains solid—ROE of 30.87% and operating margin of 15.60%—leverage is elevated at 1.51 D/E and liquidity is weak (current ratio 0.66), raising concerns about financial flexibility. Analysts are tepid with a 'hold' consensus and a $53.53 target implying only 12.9% upside, while recent insider selling adds a bearish signal.
Key Strengths
Attractive valuation with P/E of 8.96, significantly below sector average of 22.53 and peer TGT (10.48), CL (21.86), and MNST (40.52)
High dividend yield of 5.15% well-covered by a 45.56% payout ratio, offering income appeal in a defensive sector
Strong earnings quality: beat EPS estimates in 3 of last 4 quarters with average surprise of 4.54% and 107.7% Q/Q earnings growth
Profitability resilience: 15.60% operating margin and 30.87% ROE outperform sector averages of 14.28% and 120.59% respectively, though ROE is inflated by leverage
Better-than-peer price stability in recent months: +1.1% 1W return vs broader sector weakness, especially relative to TGT (-38.4% 1Y)
Key Risks
Revenue contraction of -6.80% YoY with no signs of inflection, contrasting peer MNST (+16.8%) and sector average growth of +5.46%
Deteriorating market sentiment: 3Y return of -31.6% and 1Y return of -23.4%, underperforming all major peers except TGT
Elevated leverage with Debt/Equity of 1.51, though below sector average of 3.28, limits financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk
Weak liquidity position: current ratio of 0.66 and quick ratio of 0.35 indicate potential near-term cash flow pressure
Forward P/E expansion to 10.09 suggests limited multiple upside unless growth reaccelerates, which current trends do not support
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$53.53
+12.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare GIS against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations