IBM International Business Machines Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
IBM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Technology
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Information Technology Services
Current Price
$305.69
Analyst Target
$287.09
-6.1% Downside
52W High
$324.9
52W Low
$205.37
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
IBM trades at a premium valuation with solid historical profitability and consistent earnings beats, supported by strong ROE of 30.16% and a 9.1% YoY revenue growth. However, elevated P/E of 36.48 and forward P/E of 28.81 exceed both peer averages and historical norms, while weakening near-term EPS momentum—evidenced by a -5.4% Q/Q decline—raises concerns about sustainability. The stock has delivered strong price performance over 5Y (+232.3%) and 1Y (+50.0%), reflecting investor confidence in its hybrid cloud and AI转型, though leverage remains high at 2.38x Debt/Equity. Analysts broadly concur with a 'hold' recommendation, and absent insider activity, the setup appears balanced between proven execution and stretched near-term expectations.
Key Strengths
ROE of 30.16% significantly exceeds sector average of 27.63%, indicating superior capital efficiency
9.1% YoY revenue growth outpaces legacy peer expectations and reflects successful strategic repositioning
Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters, with 8.63% average surprise over latest four
Dividend yield of 2.20% offers income appeal in a low-yield environment with 79.86% payout ratio
Gross margin of 57.81% demonstrates pricing power and high-value service mix in IT services
Key Risks
Elevated P/E of 36.48 vs sector avg 175.24 (distorted) but notably above peers like CSCO (30.12) and MU (32.56)
Debt/Equity ratio of 2.38 is more than triple the sector average of 0.74, raising refinancing and flexibility concerns
Q/Q EPS declined -5.4%, signaling potential softness in near-term profitability despite strong YoY growth
Current ratio of 0.93 and quick ratio of 0.78 indicate tight liquidity, below the 1.0 safety threshold
Payout ratio of 79.86% leaves limited room for dividend growth or shock absorption during downturns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$287.09
-6.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare IBM against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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