MMC Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
MMC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Financial Services
•
Insurance Brokers
Current Price
$182.81
Analyst Target
$214.26
+17.2% Upside
52W High
$248.0
52W Low
$174.18
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) trades at a premium valuation with solid long-term profitability and a disciplined capital allocation track record, but faces near-term headwinds reflected in flat year-over-year earnings growth and weakening quarterly EPS momentum. The stock has significantly underperformed over the past year (-16.1%) and six months (-20.3%), lagging both its historical performance and several peers in the Financial Services sector, despite consistent earnings beats over the last 25 quarters. While its ROE of 28.73% and operating margin of 19.24% are strong relative to sector averages, elevated leverage (Debt/Equity: 1.40) and insider selling activity raise caution. Analysts broadly concur with a 'hold' rating and imply 17% upside to a $214.26 target, suggesting limited near-term catalysts despite attractive relative fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profitability with ROE of 28.73%, significantly above sector average of 25.01% and peer group (e.g., KKR: 7.67%, APO: 16.55%)
High operating margin of 19.24% and gross margin of 43.95%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency in the insurance brokerage segment
Consistent earnings outperformance: 22 out of 25 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of +4.8% over the last 12 quarters
Attractive dividend profile with 1.97% yield and sustainable 41.13% payout ratio, supported by durable free cash flow generation
Revenue growth of 11.5% YoY outpaces traditional banking peers like USB (7.2%) and PNC (10.8%)
Key Risks
Earnings growth stagnation: 0.0% YoY and -24.5% QoQ EPS growth indicate near-term profitability compression despite top-line momentum
Premium valuation: Forward P/E of 19.39 exceeds sector average of 20.54 but is less compelling given slower growth than high-growth peers like APO (26.4% revenue growth)
High leverage with Debt/Equity of 1.40, well above sector average of 0.68, increasing vulnerability to interest rate shocks or economic downturn
Weak liquidity profile: Quick ratio of 0.52 suggests constrained short-term flexibility, especially concerning for a capital-intensive financial services firm
Bearish insider activity: CEO sold over $9.2M in shares with no offsetting buys in the last six months, signaling potential lack of confidence at the top
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$214.26
+17.2% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare MMC against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations