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PFE Pfizer Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
PFE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Healthcare Drug Manufacturers - General
Current Price
$25.06
Analyst Target
$28.96
+15.5% Upside
52W High
$27.69
52W Low
$20.92

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Pfizer (PFE) trades at a significant discount to peers on valuation, supported by a high 6.86% dividend yield and solid profitability metrics including a 74.81% gross margin and 35.28% operating margin. However, the company faces meaningful headwinds with declining revenue (-5.90% YoY) and earnings (-21.30% YoY), weak earnings surprise history (0/4 beats last four quarters), and a stretched payout ratio of 99.42%, raising sustainability concerns. Price momentum has improved recently (+13.6% over 6M), but long-term performance remains weak (-38.6% over 3Y), reflecting post-pandemic normalization challenges. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $28.96 target, implying ~15.5% upside, though this is contingent on successful pipeline execution and stabilization in core business lines.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 6.86% provides strong income appeal in a low-growth environment
Superior profitability: 74.81% gross margin and 35.28% operating margin well above sector averages
Attractive valuation: Forward P/E of 8.55 vs sector avg of 23.18, offering significant multiple expansion potential
Moderate leverage with Debt/Equity of 0.67, below sector average of 1.93, enhancing financial flexibility
Large market cap ($146.63B) provides resilience and access to capital markets

Key Risks

Revenue and earnings in decline: -5.90% and -21.30% YoY respectively, indicating fundamental top-line pressure
Extremely high payout ratio of 99.42% threatens dividend sustainability amid falling earnings
Poor earnings execution: 0 earnings beats in last 4 quarters, signaling weakening predictability
Lack of free cash flow and debt/cash data limits visibility into liquidity and capital allocation capacity
Forward growth outlook lags peers: AMGN and BNTX growing revenues at 12.4% and 22.0% vs PFE’s contraction
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.96
+15.6% above current price

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