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PLD Prologis, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
PLD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Real Estate REIT - Industrial
Current Price
$122.83
Analyst Target
$129.95
+5.8% Upside
52W High
$127.5
52W Low
$85.35

AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
Prologis (PLD) trades near its 52-week high at $122.83, reflecting strong long-term price momentum with a 36.6% return over five years and 11.0% in the past year. However, near-term earnings growth is under pressure, with YoY EPS down 24.1% and a concerning payout ratio of 115.99%, raising sustainability questions. While the company maintains industry-leading margins and a dominant industrial REIT position, elevated valuation at 35.7x P/E and insider selling activity temper bullishness. Analysts remain constructive with a $129.95 target price and 'buy' rating, but conflicting signals between robust operating performance and deteriorating earnings trends warrant caution.

Key Strengths

Industry-leading operating margin of 42.72%, significantly above REIT sector average (~30%)
Dominant market position in industrial logistics real estate with $115B+ market cap
Exceptional gross margin of 76.09%, reflecting high-quality, in-demand warehouse assets
Strong analyst consensus with 20 analysts maintaining a 'buy' recommendation
Solid dividend yield of 3.29%, attractive in current rate environment

Key Risks

Earnings growth declining sharply YoY (-24.3%), indicating near-term headwinds
Payout ratio of 115.99% signals dividend is not fully covered by earnings
Elevated P/E of 35.71 vs. sector median (~20–25x) raises valuation concerns
Insider selling activity: $3.01M in sales over last 6 months, no buys
Current and quick ratios below 1.0 (0.77 and 0.56), suggesting liquidity constraints
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$125.5
+2.2% above current price

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