TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
TRV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
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Financial Services
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Insurance - Property & Casualty
Current Price
$287.29
Analyst Target
$295.1
+2.7% Upside
52W High
$290.62
52W Low
$230.23
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
The Travelers Companies (TRV) trades near its 52-week high at $287.29, reflecting solid long-term performance with a 5Y return of +133.6%, outpacing many financial services peers. The stock is attractively valued with a P/E of 11.31, well below the sector average of 22.13, and exhibits strong profitability, including a 19.81% ROE and disciplined capital allocation with a low 16.92% payout ratio. However, recent insider selling worth $24.22M over the past six months and a rare string of earnings misses (0/4 beats in latest quarters) raise caution. Analysts are tepid with a 'hold' consensus and a modest $295.10 target, implying only 2.7% upside.
Key Strengths
P/E of 11.31 is significantly below financial services sector average of 22.13, indicating valuation discount
ROE of 19.81% exceeds sector median and reflects strong capital efficiency
Low dividend payout ratio of 16.92% provides ample room for future increases and buybacks
Debt/Equity of 0.29 is well below sector average of 0.76, signaling conservative leverage
Earnings growth of 52% YoY and 49.8% QoQ demonstrates strong recent profitability momentum
Key Risks
Insider selling by multiple executives totaling $24.22M signals potential lack of confidence at the top
0 earnings beats in the last 4 quarters suggests weakening execution or conservative guidance
Current ratio of 0.34 and quick ratio of 0.20 indicate structural liquidity constraints common in insurance but still a risk in stress scenarios
Forward P/E of 13.52 implies decelerating earnings growth expectations despite strong YoY momentum
Valuation multiple expansion may be limited given sector headwinds in P&C insurance from climate risk and reserve volatility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$295.1
+2.7% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare TRV against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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