WELL Welltower Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
WELL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Real Estate
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REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Current Price
$193.82
Analyst Target
$198.29
+2.3% Upside
52W High
$194.83
52W Low
$123.11
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
Welltower Inc. (WELL) trades near its 52-week high with strong price momentum—up 46.7% over the past year and 233.5% over five years—signaling robust investor confidence. However, the stock's elevated valuation metrics, including a P/E of 133.7 and forward P/E of 106.5, are sharply disconnected from fundamentals, particularly given negative earnings growth and a concerning 189.66% dividend payout ratio. While the company has demonstrated improving quarterly earnings trends and solid revenue growth of 30.6% YoY, profitability and return metrics lag behind REIT peers. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $198.29 target, implying limited upside, while insider activity is neutral, offering no conviction.
Key Strengths
Exceptional revenue growth of 30.6% YoY, significantly outpacing the sector average of 7.67% and peer group (PLD: 8.7%, AMT: 7.7%, EQIX: 6.6%)
Strong recent earnings progression with 3 beats in the last 4 quarters and a 22.2% Q/Q EPS growth, indicating improving operational execution
Robust liquidity profile with a current ratio of 6.99 and quick ratio of 4.09, suggesting minimal near-term financial stress
Low leverage relative to sector peers, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46 vs. sector average of 2.10, enhancing financial flexibility
Outstanding long-term price performance: +233.5% over 5 years, outperforming all listed peers (PLD: +200.3%, AMT: +11.0%, EQIX: -11.1%)
Key Risks
Extremely high valuation: P/E of 133.67 and forward P/E of 106.49, both multiples of the sector average (45.80) and lacking support from earnings growth
Negative earnings growth of -43.7% YoY and -37.6% Q/Q, raising concerns about profit sustainability despite revenue strength
Unsustainable dividend policy with a payout ratio of 189.66%, indicating dividends are being funded by sources other than earnings
Deteriorating return metrics: ROE of 2.75% and ROA of 2.00% are well below sector averages of 14.17% and 25.05% profit margin, signaling weak capital efficiency
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, shares outstanding) limits transparency and raises potential governance or reporting concerns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$145.0
-25.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
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Stock Price & Analyst Targets
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Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
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Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
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Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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