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BLDP vs SWBI

BLDP
Ballard Power Systems Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$2.39
Market Cap
$718.8M
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
72%
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$14.85
Market Cap
$660.7M
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BLDP
--
SWBI
61.88
Forward P/E
BLDP
-15.31
SWBI
45.0
P/B Ratio
BLDP
1.22
SWBI
1.82
P/S Ratio
BLDP
7.23
SWBI
1.36
EV/EBITDA
BLDP
-2.62
SWBI
13.95

Profitability

Gross Margin
BLDP
5.5%
SWBI
26.66%
Operating Margin
BLDP
-103.87%
SWBI
4.81%
Profit Margin
BLDP
-91.49%
SWBI
2.24%
ROE
BLDP
-14.4%
SWBI
2.99%
ROA
BLDP
-6.89%
SWBI
2.46%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BLDP
37.2%
SWBI
17.1%
Earnings Growth
BLDP
--
SWBI
67.6%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BLDP
0.04
SWBI
0.3
Current Ratio
BLDP
9.86
SWBI
4.5
Quick Ratio
BLDP
9.11
SWBI
1.35

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BLDP
--
SWBI
3.51%
Payout Ratio
BLDP
0.0%
SWBI
216.67%

AI Verdict

BLDP NEUTRAL

BLDP's Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress, with no positive operational or profitability signals, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth (37.2% YoY) and improving earnings surprises in recent quarters, the company remains unprofitable with negative margins and ROE, and its valuation metrics (Price/Sales 7.23, Forward P/E -15.31) reflect speculative pricing. The stock has rebounded sharply (+86.7% over 1 year) but trades at a significant premium to historical lows, with no dividend and neutral insider activity. Analysts maintain a 'hold' recommendation, reflecting cautious optimism amid persistent financial instability.

Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 37.2% YoY indicates market expansion and demand for fuel cell technology
Improving earnings surprise trend in recent quarters (average +11.46% over last 4), suggesting better-than-expected execution
Significant improvement in Q/Q EPS growth (+55.6%) and YoY EPS growth (+69.2%), signaling potential earnings recovery
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial weakness, with no positive indicators in profitability, leverage, or cash flow
Persistent unprofitability: Gross margin is only 5.5%, while operating and net margins are deeply negative (-103.87% and -91.49%)
No Altman Z-Score available, and the absence of a reliable distress model raises unquantified bankruptcy risk
SWBI BEARISH

SWBI exhibits a concerning disconnect between its market price ($14.85) and its deterministic fair value, with a Graham Number of $6.64 and Intrinsic Value of $7.08. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and growth metrics are strong, the valuation is stretched with a P/E of 61.88. Most critically, the dividend payout ratio of 216.67% is fundamentally unsustainable. Despite strong 1-year price momentum, the technical trend has turned sharply bearish (10/100), suggesting a correction toward fair value is likely.

Strengths
Strong YoY earnings growth of 67.60%
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30 indicating low leverage
Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.50
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (216.67%)
Extremely thin profit margins (2.24%)
Significant premium to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value

Compare Another Pair

BLDP vs SWBI: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Ballard Power Systems Inc. (BLDP) and Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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