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CVLG vs MATW

CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$34.07
Market Cap
$854.9M
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%
MATW
Matthews International Corporation
BEARISH
Price
$27.07
Market Cap
$842.6M
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
CVLG
212.94
MATW
38.13
Forward P/E
CVLG
13.07
MATW
22.56
P/B Ratio
CVLG
2.11
MATW
1.55
P/S Ratio
CVLG
0.71
MATW
0.61
EV/EBITDA
CVLG
10.24
MATW
16.69

Profitability

Gross Margin
CVLG
21.17%
MATW
35.28%
Operating Margin
CVLG
2.15%
MATW
-4.53%
Profit Margin
CVLG
0.42%
MATW
1.64%
ROE
CVLG
--
MATW
4.73%
ROA
CVLG
--
MATW
0.82%

Growth

Revenue Growth
CVLG
14.0%
MATW
-29.1%
Earnings Growth
CVLG
-29.2%
MATW
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
CVLG
0.84
MATW
1.08
Current Ratio
CVLG
--
MATW
1.51
Quick Ratio
CVLG
--
MATW
0.8

Dividends

Dividend Yield
CVLG
0.82%
MATW
3.77%
Payout Ratio
CVLG
175.0%
MATW
141.55%

AI Verdict

CVLG BEARISH

CVLG exhibits a severe disconnect between its current market price ($34.07) and its deterministic value, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health and a Graham Number of $7.62 suggesting significant overvaluation. While the stock has shown strong recent price momentum, the fundamentals are deteriorating, evidenced by a -29.2% YoY earnings decline and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 175%. The massive gap between the current P/E (212.94) and the Forward P/E (13.07) indicates the market is pricing in an aggressive earnings recovery that is not yet supported by current data. Heavy insider selling by the CEO and CFO further reinforces a bearish outlook.

Strengths
Strong 1-year price appreciation (+66%)
Positive YoY revenue growth of 14%
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84
Risks
Extreme valuation premium relative to Graham Number ($7.62) and Intrinsic Value ($1.12)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (175%)
Significant decline in YoY and Q/Q earnings growth
MATW BEARISH

MATW exhibits severe fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a current price ($27.07) that significantly exceeds both its Graham Number ($16.70) and Intrinsic Value ($4.97). The company is facing a crisis in growth with revenue declining by 29.10% YoY and operating margins turning negative (-4.53%). Furthermore, the dividend is unsustainable with a payout ratio of 141.55%, indicating a high risk of a dividend cut. Despite bullish analyst targets, the deterministic data suggests a value trap scenario.

Strengths
Strong short-term price momentum (1Y Change +34%)
Reasonable Current Ratio (1.51) providing some short-term liquidity
Gross margins remain healthy at 35.28%
Risks
Severe financial health decay (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (141.55%)
Significant revenue contraction (-29.10% YoY)

Compare Another Pair

CVLG vs MATW: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) and Matthews International Corporation (MATW) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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