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HGBL vs MLCI

HGBL
Heritage Global Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$1.40
Market Cap
$48.6M
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
85%
MLCI
Mount Logan Capital Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$4.04
Market Cap
$52.3M
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
90%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
HGBL
14.0
MLCI
--
Forward P/E
HGBL
8.75
MLCI
--
P/B Ratio
HGBL
0.73
MLCI
0.57
P/S Ratio
HGBL
0.95
MLCI
1.18
EV/EBITDA
HGBL
5.58
MLCI
--

Profitability

Gross Margin
HGBL
60.87%
MLCI
72.72%
Operating Margin
HGBL
7.29%
MLCI
-194.18%
Profit Margin
HGBL
7.04%
MLCI
-137.62%
ROE
HGBL
5.43%
MLCI
-62.4%
ROA
HGBL
4.12%
MLCI
-3.85%

Growth

Revenue Growth
HGBL
10.1%
MLCI
13.9%
Earnings Growth
HGBL
--
MLCI
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
HGBL
0.09
MLCI
1.05
Current Ratio
HGBL
2.16
MLCI
4.47
Quick Ratio
HGBL
1.44
MLCI
4.18

Dividends

Dividend Yield
HGBL
--
MLCI
2.96%
Payout Ratio
HGBL
0.0%
MLCI
4.5%

AI Verdict

HGBL NEUTRAL

HGBL presents a classic value trap profile, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($1.40) trading significantly below its Graham Number ($2.08) and book value (P/B 0.73). While the balance sheet is exceptionally clean with very low debt (D/E 0.09) and strong liquidity (Current Ratio 2.16), these strengths are offset by a dismal earnings track record, missing 4 of the last 4 estimates with an average surprise of -58.34%. The divergence between the analyst target price ($3.42) and the growth-based intrinsic value ($0.70) suggests high volatility and speculative pricing. Overall, the company is financially solvent but operationally struggling to meet expectations.

Strengths
Trading below book value (P/B 0.73)
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.09)
Strong short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 2.16)
Risks
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 last 4 quarters)
Severe long-term price erosion (5Y Change: -53.3%)
Bearish insider activity with repeated sales by General Counsel
MLCI BEARISH

MLCI exhibits severe financial distress, highlighted by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating a near-total failure of fundamental health metrics. While the company trades at a significant discount to book value (P/B 0.57), this is offset by catastrophic profitability margins (-137.62% profit margin) and a negative ROE of -62.40%. Despite a high current ratio suggesting short-term liquidity, the technical trend is completely bearish (0/100) and quarterly revenue has plummeted by 44.54%. The dividend appears unsustainable given the lack of earnings.

Strengths
Strong short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 4.47)
Trading significantly below book value (P/B 0.57)
Positive year-over-year revenue growth (13.90%)
Risks
Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 1/9)
Severe operational losses (Operating Margin -194.18%)
Sharp quarterly revenue decline (-44.54% Q/Q)

Compare Another Pair

HGBL vs MLCI: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) and Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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