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LWAY vs PM

LWAY
Lifeway Foods, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$24.40
Market Cap
$371.6M
Sector
Consumer Defensive
AI Confidence
85%
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
BULLISH
Price
$155.43
Market Cap
$241.95B
Sector
Consumer Defensive
AI Confidence
92%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
LWAY
27.42
PM
22.17
Forward P/E
LWAY
17.81
PM
21.59
P/B Ratio
LWAY
4.33
PM
-22.17
P/S Ratio
LWAY
1.75
PM
6.05
EV/EBITDA
LWAY
18.09
PM
16.14

Profitability

Gross Margin
LWAY
29.01%
PM
66.92%
Operating Margin
LWAY
6.8%
PM
40.75%
Profit Margin
LWAY
6.52%
PM
21.57%
ROE
LWAY
17.57%
PM
--
ROA
LWAY
10.31%
PM
14.94%

Growth

Revenue Growth
LWAY
18.0%
PM
9.4%
Earnings Growth
LWAY
--
PM
13.1%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
LWAY
0.01
PM
--
Current Ratio
LWAY
2.23
PM
0.85
Quick Ratio
LWAY
1.35
PM
0.37

Dividends

Dividend Yield
LWAY
--
PM
3.78%
Payout Ratio
LWAY
0.0%
PM
78.76%

AI Verdict

LWAY BEARISH

LWAY exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating deteriorating fundamental health despite a clean balance sheet. The stock is trading at a severe premium to both its Graham Number ($10.62) and Intrinsic Value ($6.23), suggesting the current price of $24.40 is speculative. While revenue growth is strong at 18%, consistent earnings misses and aggressive insider selling signal a lack of confidence in the current valuation.

Strengths
Extremely low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.01)
Strong liquidity position (Current Ratio 2.23)
Robust top-line growth (18% YoY Revenue Growth)
Risks
Severe overvaluation relative to defensive fair value (Graham Number)
Weak fundamental health score (Piotroski 3/9)
Poor earnings track record (only 1 of last 4 quarters beat estimates)
PM BULLISH

Philip Morris International (PM) presents a compelling investment case supported by strong profitability, consistent earnings growth, and a resilient dividend profile. Despite near-term price weakness over the past six months (-7.3%), the stock has delivered exceptional long-term returns (+153.1% over 5Y), underpinned by robust YoY EPS growth of 17.3% and a track record of beating earnings estimates in 22 of the last 25 quarters. The company’s high operating margin (40.75%) and gross margin (66.92%) reflect pricing power and cost discipline in a defensive sector, while its forward P/E of 21.59 appears justified given growth and stability. Analysts concur with a unanimous buy rating and a $185.75 target price, implying ~19.5% upside, reinforcing confidence in continued outperformance.

Strengths
Exceptional profitability with operating margin of 40.75% and gross margin of 66.92%, among the highest in consumer defensive sector
Consistent earnings growth: 13.1% YoY and 17.3% most recent Q/Q EPS growth, demonstrating strong underlying momentum
Outstanding earnings surprise record: 22 out of 25 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of +4.82% over the last four
Risks
Negative Price/Book ratio (-22.17) suggests deep negative equity, likely due to aggressive share buybacks exceeding retained earnings
Weak liquidity profile: current ratio of 0.85 and quick ratio of 0.37 indicate potential near-term cash flow pressure
Missing key financials (debt/equity, EV, cash/debt) limits full health assessment and raises transparency concerns

Compare Another Pair

LWAY vs PM: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) and Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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