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AAPG Ascentage Pharma Group Internat - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AAPG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Biotechnology
Current Price Live
$24.93
Analyst Target
$45.71
+83.4% Upside
52W High
$48.45
52W Low
$17.55

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 21, 2026
Market cap
$2.33B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-159.6%
Profit margin
-296.8%
Debt/Equity
2.54
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AAPG's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, falling into the 'Weak' range for biotech firms, with no Altman Z-Score available to assess bankruptcy risk. The company exhibits severe profitability issues, including a -296.77% profit margin and negative ROE, alongside a 71.6% YoY revenue decline. Despite a high gross margin of 90.87%, this is overshadowed by massive losses and a debt/equity ratio of 2.54. The stock trades at a premium valuation (Price/Book: 88.88) with no earnings or cash flow support, and analysts' target price of $45.71 appears disconnected from current fundamentals.

Key Strengths

High gross margin of 90.87% suggests strong product-level pricing power or low production costs
Insider sentiment at 40/100 indicates some level of internal confidence despite overall caution
52-week high of $48.45 shows historical price resilience and potential for recovery
Peer benchmarking shows similar high growth expectations in sector (avg revenue growth 61.93%)
Positive 1-year return of +26.7% reflects recent market optimism despite fundamentals

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and deteriorating operational efficiency
Negative profit margin (-296.77%) and ROE (-159.65%) indicate severe unprofitability
71.6% YoY revenue decline suggests core business contraction or failed product launches
Debt/Equity ratio of 2.54 is high for a biotech, increasing financial leverage risk
No available cash flow, earnings, or dividend data undermines sustainability and investor returns

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
22
Weak
Value
25
Future
30
Past
35
Health
20
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9), Negative profitability and revenue contraction, High valuation without earnings support, No Altman Z-Score available (risk of distress)
Confidence
88%
Value
25/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • High gross margin may support future profitability if scaled
  • Price/Sales of 5.97 is below some peers (e.g., ADPT at 6.5+), suggesting relative valuation appeal
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 88.88 is extremely high for a loss-making firm
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available due to negative earnings
  • Forward P/E of -51.86 indicates deep unprofitability
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $45.71 implies strong growth expectations
  • Sector average revenue growth is 61.93%, suggesting high-growth potential in biotech
Watchpoints
  • 71.6% YoY revenue decline contradicts growth narrative
  • No forward earnings or cash flow data to validate growth assumptions
  • Negative ROIC and lack of operating cash flow hinder reinvestment capacity
Past
35/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year return of +43.4% shows strong historical performance
  • 1-year return of +26.7% indicates recent market momentum
Watchpoints
  • Two quarters with no earnings estimates or actuals, indicating poor transparency
  • 6-month return of -48.0% reflects sharp recent pullback
  • No consistent earnings history to assess trend reliability
Health
20/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.54 and quick ratio of 1.40 suggest short-term liquidity adequacy
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below threshold for stability
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is in the 'Weak' range, indicating deteriorating financial health
  • Debt/Equity of 2.54 is high for a biotech, increasing financial risk
  • Negative ROA (-22.77%) and ROE (-159.65%) signal poor capital efficiency
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield and payout ratio are both 0.00%
  • No history of dividend payments or intent

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$24.93
Analyst Target
$45.71
Upside/Downside
+83.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AAPG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-20
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AAPG
Ascentage Pharma Group Internat
Primary
+43.4% +43.4% +26.7% -48.0% -5.5% +4.7%
ADPT
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation
Peer
-73.2% +72.7% +82.5% +16.9% -13.5% -5.2%
ATEC
Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
Peer
+4.7% +20.4% +33.9% +44.4% -24.8% -11.9%
BHC
Bausch Health Companies Inc.
Peer
-78.1% -29.4% -24.3% -12.7% -17.7% -15.3%
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporation
Peer
-0.0% +9.6% +3.0% -2.5% +5.2% +1.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-51.86
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
88.88
P/S Ratio
5.97
EV/Revenue
21.07
EV/EBITDA
-7.88
Market Cap
$2.33B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -296.77%
Operating Margin -237.05%
Gross Margin 90.87%
ROE -159.65%
ROA -22.77%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -71.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.54
High debt
Current Ratio
1.54
Good
Quick Ratio
1.4
Good
Cash/Share
$4.83

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-26
$N/A
2025-08-07
$N/A

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing AAPG against 146 companies in the Healthcare sector (11 bullish, 60 neutral, 75 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-159.65%
This Stock
vs
-56.86%
Sector Avg
+180.8% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-296.77%
This Stock
vs
-20.8%
Sector Avg
+1327.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
2.54
This Stock
vs
2.68
Sector Avg
-5.3% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
-71.6%
This Stock
vs
62.23%
Sector Avg
-215.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.54
This Stock
vs
3.45
Sector Avg
-55.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AAPG
Ascentage Pharma Group Internat
BEARISH $2.33B - -159.6% -296.8% $24.93
ADPT
Adaptive Biotechnologies...
BEARISH $2.34B - -27.8% -21.5% $15.2
ATEC
Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH $2.32B - -540.4% -21.3% $15.62
BHC
Bausch Health Companies Inc.
BEARISH $2.19B 6.79 563.2% 3.6% $5.91
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporation
BULLISH $2.13B 24.83 8.6% 6.4% $115.48

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
7 analysts
Oppenheimer
2025-12-04
init
Outperform
Truist Securities
2025-11-24
init
Buy
BTIG
2025-11-10
init
Buy
Piper Sandler
2025-11-05
init
Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AAPG from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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