ABNB Airbnb, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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ABNB Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Cyclical
Travel Services
Current Price
Live
$121.35
Analyst Target
$144.14
+18.8%
Upside
52W High
$162.58
52W Low
$99.88
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$72.75B
P/E
28.76
ROE
30.8%
Profit margin
22.0%
Debt/Equity
0.26
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ABNB's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling deterioration in operational efficiency and profitability consistency. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about bankruptcy risk, especially given the company's recent earnings volatility and declining EPS growth. While the Graham Number ($36.67) and intrinsic value ($53.59) suggest significant undervaluation, the current price of $121.35 reflects a premium driven by high growth expectations, which are not being met. Insider selling totaling $81.73M over six months and a bearish technical trend further undermine confidence. Analysts remain bullish, but recent earnings misses and negative surprises erode conviction.
Key Strengths
High gross margin (83.04%) and strong operating margin (39.68%) indicate pricing power and cost control
Solid ROE (30.78%) reflects efficient use of equity capital
Low debt/equity ratio (0.26) suggests conservative capital structure and low financial leverage
Strong profit margin (22.03%) outperforms sector average (0.87%)
Positive long-term revenue growth (9.70% YoY) despite recent deceleration
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and declining operational efficiency
Negative year-over-year EPS growth (-23.3%) and recent Q/Q decline (-74.7%) signal deteriorating earnings quality
Insider selling activity (17 transactions, $81.73M) suggests lack of confidence among insiders
Recent earnings misses (4 of last 4 quarters below estimates, average -3.67%) undermine reliability
Current price ($121.35) trades at a significant premium to Graham Number ($36.67) and intrinsic value ($53.59), implying overvaluation unless growth resumes
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$53.59
-55.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
30
Weak
40
35
45
30
0
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Strong profitability and low leverage provide a foundation, Weak Piotroski F-Score and declining earnings growth erode confidence, High valuation relative to intrinsic value limits upside
Confidence
80%
Value
40/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Graham Number ($36.67) and intrinsic value ($53.59) suggest undervaluation
- Low P/E (28.76) relative to sector average (42.91)
Watchpoints
- Current price ($121.35) is over 2.2x intrinsic value
- No PEG ratio available, but growth is slowing
Future
35/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 9.70% YoY revenue growth indicates continued top-line expansion
- Forward P/E of 20.88 suggests improved future earnings expectations
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth (3.80% YoY) is lagging revenue growth
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth is -74.7%, signaling near-term deterioration
Past
45/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent profitability over 22 quarters with strong margins
- Historical EPS beats (e.g., +208.1% in 2023 Q3) show upside potential
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings misses (e.g., -15.7% in 2026 Q1)
- Negative EPS growth (-23.3% YoY) and declining trend
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Low debt/equity (0.26) and healthy current ratio (1.39)
- Positive operating cash flow (implied by strong margins)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available; risk of distress cannot be ruled out
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid (0/100 strength)
- Payout ratio is 0.00%, consistent with growth-stage company
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$121.35
Analyst Target
$144.14
Upside/Downside
+18.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ABNB and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
Primary
|
-42.2% | +0.4% | -14.0% | -3.0% | -8.6% | -0.7% |
|
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
Peer
|
+239.7% | +322.6% | +9.8% | -0.4% | -18.7% | -1.2% |
|
GM
General Motors Company
Peer
|
+52.8% | +127.8% | +57.5% | +52.6% | +0.4% | -2.5% |
|
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
Peer
|
+138.8% | +82.0% | +2.3% | +5.1% | +7.3% | -1.9% |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+156.1% | +96.3% | +8.1% | +5.6% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
28.76
Forward P/E
20.88
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
8.57
P/S Ratio
6.09
EV/Revenue
5.1
EV/EBITDA
22.06
Market Cap
$72.75B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
22.03%
Operating Margin
39.68%
Gross Margin
83.04%
ROE
30.78%
ROA
7.47%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.7%
Earnings Growth
+3.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+0.4%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.26
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.39
Good
Quick Ratio
0.84
Poor
Cash/Share
$19.27
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-12
$0.56
-15.7% surprise
2025-11-06
$2.21
-4.8% surprise
2025-08-06
$1.03
+9.4% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing ABNB against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(6 bullish, 49 neutral, 39 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.76
This Stock
vs
42.9
Sector Avg
-33.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
30.78%
This Stock
vs
6.28%
Sector Avg
+390.4%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
22.03%
This Stock
vs
0.87%
Sector Avg
+2428.0%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.26
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-84.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.7%
This Stock
vs
7.63%
Sector Avg
+27.2%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.39
This Stock
vs
1.86
Sector Avg
-25.3%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $72.75B | 28.76 | 30.8% | 22.0% | $121.35 | |
|
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
|
BULLISH | $69.75B | 17.01 | 46.7% | 23.3% | $252.87 | |
|
GM
General Motors Company
|
BEARISH | $76.95B | 15.42 | 4.4% | 1.6% | $80.82 | |
|
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $77.13B | 30.11 | -% | 38.0% | $285.72 | |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $62.73B | 39.2 | -% | 34.2% | $269.67 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | GEBBIA JOSEPH | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 58,000 | $7,026,717 |
| 2026-02-02 | MERTZ ELINOR | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 3,750 | $487,500 |
| 2026-01-26 | GEBBIA JOSEPH | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 58,000 | $7,730,261 |
| 2026-01-12 | GEBBIA JOSEPH | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 58,000 | $8,030,004 |
| 2026-01-02 | MERTZ ELINOR | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 3,750 | $509,775 |
| 2025-12-29 | GEBBIA JOSEPH | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 58,000 | $7,928,858 |
| 2025-12-19 | BALOGH ARISTOTLE N | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 2,565 | $345,745 |
| 2025-12-19 | BALOGH ARISTOTLE N | Chief Technology Officer | Option Exercise | 1,915 | $234,415 |
| 2025-12-17 | BALOGH ARISTOTLE N | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 15,263 | $2,060,505 |
| 2025-12-17 | BALOGH ARISTOTLE N | Chief Technology Officer | Option Exercise | 11,488 | $1,406,246 |
| 2025-12-15 | GEBBIA JOSEPH | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 58,000 | $7,572,587 |
| 2025-12-15 | CHESKY BRIAN | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 60,000 | $7,861,124 |
| 2025-12-12 | BALOGH ARISTOTLE N | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 650 | $83,804 |
| 2025-12-12 | MERTZ ELINOR | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 7,500 | $975,000 |
| 2025-12-09 | BALOGH ARISTOTLE N | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 16,875 | $2,112,627 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
36 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-13
In-Line
Outperform
TD Cowen
2026-02-13
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-02-13
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Wedbush
2026-02-13
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-02-13
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Benchmark
2026-02-13
Buy
Buy
BMO Capital
2026-02-13
Market Perform
Market Perform
Deutsche Bank
2026-02-13
Hold
Buy
Wedbush
2026-02-06
Neutral
Neutral
Citizens
2026-02-04
Market Perform
Market Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ABNB from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.