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ABSI Absci Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ABSI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Biotechnology
Current Price Live
$2.55
Analyst Target
$8.05
+215.5% Upside
52W High
$6.33
52W Low
$2.01

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$383.45M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-55.7%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.03
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
ABSI's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme weakness in operational and financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk. The company exhibits catastrophic profitability metrics, including a -7,977.25% operating margin and negative ROE/ROA, alongside a 77.8% year-over-year revenue decline. Despite a modest insider sentiment score of 60/100, recent insider selling activity and a bearish technical trend further undermine confidence. The stock trades at a premium valuation (Price/Sales of 136.22) with no earnings or cash flow support, and analyst targets remain unconvincing without consensus. Overall, the fundamentals are deeply compromised.

Key Strengths

Insider sentiment remains moderately positive at 60/100, suggesting some internal confidence
Strong current and quick ratios (5.89 and 5.17) indicate robust short-term liquidity
Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.03) implies minimal leverage risk
Recent quarter showed a positive Q/Q EPS growth of +16.7%, signaling potential improvement in losses
Peer comparison shows some biotech peers with similar or worse metrics but higher returns, suggesting potential for recovery

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 is critically low, indicating severe financial deterioration and operational failure
Operating margin of -7,977.25% and negative ROE/ROA reflect deep unprofitability and capital inefficiency
77.8% YoY revenue decline signals a failing business model or market rejection
No meaningful cash flow or free cash flow data, raising concerns about sustainability
Insider selling of $0.13M in the last 6 months, with two high-level executives exiting, signals potential internal concerns

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
14
Weak
Value
15
Future
25
Past
18
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, Negative profitability and revenue contraction, Lack of cash flow and earnings, Insider selling, Premium valuation without earnings support
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.03) suggests financial prudence
Watchpoints
  • Price/Sales of 136.22 is extremely high for a company with negative earnings and shrinking revenue
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available, indicating no defensive valuation floor
  • Forward P/E of -3.62 confirms ongoing losses and no earnings recovery in sight
Future
25/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +16.7% suggests potential improvement in loss rate
  • Analyst target price of $8.05 implies upside potential if turnaround occurs
Watchpoints
  • 77.8% YoY revenue decline indicates ongoing business deterioration
  • No forward earnings guidance or positive growth trajectory
  • No free cash flow or operating cash flow data to support future viability
Past
18/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Some quarters beat estimates (e.g., +15.3% surprise in 2023-03-30)
  • Historical earnings surprise average of -2.19% over last 4 quarters shows mixed performance
Watchpoints
  • Consistent negative earnings surprises over multiple quarters
  • 2021-09-07 earnings beat was an outlier (+13.7%) amid extreme losses
  • Long-term price decline: -88.2% over 5 years
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • High current and quick ratios (5.89 and 5.17) indicate strong liquidity
  • Low debt-to-equity (0.03) suggests minimal financial risk
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 is among the weakest possible, signaling systemic failure
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but the financial metrics suggest distress risk
  • Negative ROE (-55.68%) and ROA (-30.62%) indicate capital destruction
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield, rate, or payout ratio
  • Dividend strength is 0/100, indicating no dividend policy
  • Company is not generating profits, making dividends impossible

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.55
Analyst Target
$8.05
Upside/Downside
+215.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ABSI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ABSI
Absci Corporation
Primary
-88.2% -5.2% -49.0% -13.0% -23.9% -5.4%
BNR
Burning Rock Biotech Limited
Peer
-89.9% +6.9% +414.2% +415.7% +65.3% +9.6%
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc.
Peer
-42.6% +262.8% +3.5% -21.9% -45.7% -2.1%
AKBA
Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.
Peer
-63.3% +88.4% -43.1% -61.8% -20.0% 0.0%
AGL
agilon health, inc.
Peer
-96.8% -95.0% -73.1% -51.9% +41.4% -2.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-3.62
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.81
P/S Ratio
136.22
EV/Revenue
84.26
EV/EBITDA
-2.25
Market Cap
$383.45M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -7977.25%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE -55.68%
ROA -30.62%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -77.8%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.03
Low debt
Current Ratio
5.89
Strong
Quick Ratio
5.17
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.01

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-17
$N/A
2025-11-12
$-0.2
+2.5% surprise
2025-08-12
$-0.24
-15.1% surprise
2025-05-13
$-0.21
+6.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ABSI against 146 companies in the Healthcare sector (10 bullish, 60 neutral, 76 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-55.68%
This Stock
vs
-56.84%
Sector Avg
-2.1% (Below Avg)
Debt to Equity
0.03
This Stock
vs
2.68
Sector Avg
-98.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-77.8%
This Stock
vs
61.93%
Sector Avg
-225.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
5.89
This Stock
vs
3.47
Sector Avg
+69.9% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ABSI
Absci Corporation
BEARISH $383.45M - -55.7% -% $2.55
BNR
Burning Rock Biotech Limited
BEARISH $377.58M - -20.2% -22.5% $35.07
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH $395.29M - -% -158.9% $3.24
AKBA
Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.
NEUTRAL $360.9M - -% -7.1% $1.36
AGL
agilon health, inc.
BEARISH $410.85M - -73.3% -5.2% $0.99

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-02-02 MCCLAIN SEAN Chief Executive Officer Sale 26,761 $80,015
2026-02-02 JONASSON ZACHARIAH Chairman of the Board Sale 17,496 $52,313
2026-01-28 BEDRICK TODD Officer Stock Award 15,000 -
2025-12-05 VAN HOUTEN FRANS Director Purchase 40,000 $148,800
2025-09-22 BEDRICK TODD Officer Purchase 10,000 $27,000
2025-09-22 PANGALOS MENELAS N Director Purchase 95,785 $254,788
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
7 analysts
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-12-18
Maintains
Buy Buy
Needham
2025-12-12
reit
Buy Buy
Needham
2025-11-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2025-10-02
init
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-18
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ABSI from our newsroom.

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