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ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH
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ACAD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Biotechnology
Current Price Live
$23.99
Analyst Target
$31.21
+30.1% Upside
52W High
$28.35
52W Low
$13.4

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
ACAD demonstrates strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating robust operational and profitability fundamentals. The company exhibits exceptional earnings growth (112.8% YoY) and consistent earnings surprises averaging +69.6% over the last four quarters, signaling strong market confidence. Despite a bearish insider sentiment due to recent selling activity, the stock trades below its intrinsic value of $45.73 and Graham Number of $13.75, suggesting significant upside potential. The absence of a Z-Score is not a concern given the company's low debt and strong liquidity. Analysts maintain a buy consensus with a target price of $31.21, supporting a bullish outlook.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health and operational efficiency
Exceptional earnings growth of 112.8% YoY and 119.1% Q/Q, with consistent beat rates
High gross margin (59.00%) and strong ROE (34.95%) reflect efficient capital use
Minimal debt (Debt/Equity: 0.06) and strong liquidity (Current Ratio: 3.02)
Intrinsic value ($45.73) significantly exceeds current price ($23.99), indicating undervaluation

Key Risks

Bearish insider sentiment with $1.3M in sales over 6 months, particularly from CFO and director
No dividend and zero payout ratio, limiting income appeal
Forward P/E of 30.85 is elevated relative to current P/E, suggesting high growth expectations
Lack of PEG ratio and limited cash flow data hinder full valuation clarity
High volatility in price performance (6M: -6.8%, 1M: -10.3%) despite long-term gains
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$45.73
+90.6% above current price

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