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ACGLN Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Fundamental Analysis

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ACGLN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Financial Services Insurance - Diversified
Current Price Live
$17.71
52W High
$19.16
52W Low
$16.44

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
N/A
P/E
3.78
ROE
19.5%
Profit margin
22.1%
Debt/Equity
0.11
Dividend yield
6.49%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
ACGLN exhibits mixed financial health, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating weak operational stability despite strong profitability and growth. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about bankruptcy risk, particularly given a low current ratio (0.53) and quick ratio (0.26), which suggest liquidity strain. While the stock trades at a deeply discounted valuation (P/E 3.78, Price/Book 0.27) and offers a high dividend yield of 6.49%, the lack of analyst coverage and bearish technical trend undermine conviction. The intrinsic value estimate of $138.38 far exceeds the current price of $17.71, suggesting potential undervaluation, but this may reflect underlying structural risks in the insurance sector or company-specific concerns.

Key Strengths

High profit margins (22.07% net, 29.53% operating) indicate strong underwriting and cost discipline
Significant earnings growth (38.70% YoY) and revenue growth (8.50% YoY) signal strong top-line and bottom-line momentum
Extremely low debt/equity ratio (0.11) reflects conservative capital structure and low financial leverage
Graham Number ($83.08) and Intrinsic Value ($138.38) suggest substantial undervaluation relative to current price
High dividend yield (6.49%) provides attractive income, especially in a low-rate environment

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak operational health, with potential issues in profitability consistency or asset efficiency
Current ratio (0.53) and quick ratio (0.26) are critically low, signaling potential short-term liquidity risk
No Altman Z-Score available; absence of this key distress metric increases uncertainty about bankruptcy risk
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), suggesting weak momentum and potential downside pressure
Lack of analyst coverage (0 analysts) and missing target prices reduce transparency and market confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$138.38
+681.4% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
64
Strong
Value
88
Future
76
Past
58
Health
45
Dividend
55
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Strong profitability and growth metrics, Deep valuation discount relative to intrinsic value, Weak liquidity and operational stability (Piotroski F-Score), Absence of Altman Z-Score and bearish technicals
Confidence
78%
Value
88/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 3.78 is significantly below sector average (30.52)
  • Price/Book of 0.27 indicates deep discount to book value
  • Graham Number ($83.08) and Intrinsic Value ($138.38) suggest strong margin of safety
Watchpoints
  • No PEG ratio or forward P/E to validate growth-adjusted valuation
  • High dividend yield may be unsustainable if earnings falter
Future
76/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 38.70% YoY earnings growth and 8.50% revenue growth indicate strong momentum
  • 32.40% Q/Q earnings growth suggests acceleration in profitability
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or PEG ratio limits confidence in growth sustainability
  • No analyst estimates to validate future earnings expectations
Past
58/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year return of -7.7% may reflect sector-wide headwinds, but 3-year return of +7.2% shows recovery
  • Recent 6-month return of +4.7% indicates improving sentiment
Watchpoints
  • 1-year return of -0.4% shows stagnation despite strong earnings growth
  • 52-week range ($16.44–$19.16) suggests volatility and lack of strong trend
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 is exceptionally low, indicating minimal financial risk
  • High ROE (19.54%) and ROA (4.44%) suggest efficient capital use
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak operational health and potential red flags in cash flow or asset turnover
  • Current and quick ratios below 1.0 signal liquidity concerns
Dividend
55/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • 6.49% dividend yield is attractive, especially for income investors
  • High payout ratio implied by yield and low earnings multiple may be sustainable due to strong margins
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio not available; high yield may be unsustainable if earnings decline
  • No 5-year average yield or ex-dividend date data limits assessment of consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$17.71

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACGLN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ACGLN
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Primary
-7.7% +7.2% -0.4% +4.7% +1.8% +1.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
3.78
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.27
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
0.31
EV/EBITDA
1.12
Market Cap
N/A

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 22.07%
Operating Margin 29.53%
Gross Margin 37.16%
ROE 19.54%
ROA 4.44%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.5%
Earnings Growth +38.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +32.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.11
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.53
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.26
Poor
Cash/Share
$10.3

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ACGLN against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
3.78
This Stock
vs
30.38
Sector Avg
-87.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.54%
This Stock
vs
-7.57%
Sector Avg
-358.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
22.07%
This Stock
vs
83.86%
Sector Avg
-73.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.11
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-92.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.5%
This Stock
vs
30.29%
Sector Avg
-71.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.53
This Stock
vs
3.78
Sector Avg
-86.1% (Weaker)

Ownership Structure

Institutional and insider holdings breakdown

Ownership Breakdown

Top Institutional Holders

IAT Reinsurance Co Ltd
40,000 shares • 2025-12-31
PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
2,007 shares • 2025-12-31
Gamma Investing LLC
57 shares • 2025-12-31
Nbc Securities, Inc.
89 shares • 2025-12-31

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ACGLN from our newsroom.

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