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ACGLN Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ACGLN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Financial Services Insurance - Diversified
Current Price Live
$17.77
52W High
$18.96
52W Low
$16.44

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 21, 2026
Market cap
N/A
P/E
3.79
ROE
19.5%
Profit margin
22.1%
Debt/Equity
0.11
Dividend yield
6.41%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ACGLN's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling potential distress despite strong profitability metrics. The company trades at a deeply discounted valuation with a P/E of 3.79 and Price/Book of 0.27, but this is offset by a severely deteriorated liquidity profile—current ratio of 0.53 and quick ratio of 0.26—raising red flags for short-term solvency. While earnings growth (38.7% YoY) and high margins are positive, the lack of an Altman Z-Score and weak technical trend (0/100) suggest structural vulnerabilities. The dividend yield of 6.41% appears attractive but may be unsustainable given the weak financial health and lack of cash flow data. Overall, the stock is trading at a deep discount, but the underlying fundamentals raise serious concerns.

Key Strengths

High profit margins (22.07% net, 29.53% operating)
Strong earnings growth (38.70% YoY)
Low debt/equity ratio (0.11) indicating conservative leverage
Attractive valuation with P/E of 3.79 and Price/Book of 0.27
High ROE of 19.54% despite low ROA

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and potential distress
Extremely low current ratio (0.53) and quick ratio (0.26) suggest liquidity risk
No Altman Z-Score available, but the low liquidity and weak Piotroski score imply distress risk
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), indicating negative momentum
Dividend yield of 6.41% may be unsustainable given weak financial health and lack of cash flow data
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$83.08
+367.5% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
51
Moderate
Value
75
Future
60
Past
50
Health
30
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: High profitability and low leverage, Severe liquidity concerns, Weak Piotroski F-Score, Lack of technical momentum, High dividend yield with questionable sustainability
Confidence
85%
Value
75/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 3.79 is significantly below sector average of 30.38
  • Price/Book of 0.27 indicates deep undervaluation
  • Graham Number of $83.08 suggests defensive fair value
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $138.38 is much higher than current price, but growth assumptions may be overly optimistic
  • No PEG ratio or forward P/E to validate growth premium
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Earnings growth of 38.70% YoY is strong
  • Revenue growth of 8.50% YoY is positive
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 32.40% shows momentum
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or PEG ratio to assess growth sustainability
  • No analyst coverage to validate growth expectations
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 3-year return of +13.9% shows resilience
  • 1-year return of +2.4% indicates modest recovery
Watchpoints
  • 5-year return of -7.3% reflects long-term underperformance
  • Price near 52-week low ($16.44) suggests prolonged weakness
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.11 is very low
  • ROE of 19.54% is strong
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below threshold for financial health
  • Current ratio of 0.53 and quick ratio of 0.26 indicate severe liquidity risk
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low liquidity and weak Piotroski score imply distress risk
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 6.41% is attractive
  • Dividend rate of $1.14 is stable
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio not available, making sustainability uncertain
  • High yield may be unsustainable given weak financial health and low cash flow visibility

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$17.77

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACGLN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-20
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ACGLN
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Primary
-7.3% +13.9% +2.4% +3.9% +1.3% +0.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
3.79
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.27
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
0.31
EV/EBITDA
1.13
Market Cap
N/A

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 22.07%
Operating Margin 29.53%
Gross Margin 37.16%
ROE 19.54%
ROA 4.44%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.5%
Earnings Growth +38.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +32.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.11
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.53
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.26
Poor
Cash/Share
$10.3

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ACGLN against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (6 bullish, 111 neutral, 91 bearish)
P/E Ratio
3.79
This Stock
vs
30.39
Sector Avg
-87.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.54%
This Stock
vs
-7.57%
Sector Avg
-358.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
22.07%
This Stock
vs
83.86%
Sector Avg
-73.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.11
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-92.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.5%
This Stock
vs
30.29%
Sector Avg
-71.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.53
This Stock
vs
3.78
Sector Avg
-86.1% (Weaker)

Ownership Structure

Institutional and insider holdings breakdown

Ownership Breakdown

Top Institutional Holders

IAT Reinsurance Co Ltd
40,000 shares • 2025-12-31
PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
2,007 shares • 2025-12-31
Gamma Investing LLC
57 shares • 2025-12-31
Nbc Securities, Inc.
89 shares • 2025-12-31

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ACGLN from our newsroom.

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