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ACIU

BEARISH
$3.02 Live
AC Immune SA · NASDAQ
Target $9.01 (+198.7%)
$1.43 52W Range $4.0

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
85%
ACIU's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme weakness in operational and financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk. Despite a strong analyst consensus of 'strong_buy' and a target price of $8.98, the company exhibits catastrophic profitability metrics—negative ROE (-74.63%), gross and net margins at 0%, and a staggering -1671.88% operating margin. Revenue has collapsed by 96.3% YoY, and the stock trades at an absurd Price/Sales of 69.38, far exceeding peer benchmarks. The 52-week range ($1.43–$4.00) and 5-year decline of 62.7% underscore long-term underperformance, despite recent short-term price gains.

Key Strengths

Recent quarterly earnings have consistently beaten estimates (3/4 in last 4 quarters)
Positive earnings surprise in the most recent quarter (+17.1%) and improving Q/Q EPS growth (+12.5%)
Low debt/equity ratio (0.07) suggests conservative capital structure
Strong insider sentiment (40/100) indicates some internal confidence
Analyst consensus is strongly bullish with a $8.98 target price

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial deterioration and operational failure
Negative operating margin (-1671.88%) and zero profit margin indicate fundamental unprofitability
96.3% YoY revenue collapse suggests business model or pipeline failure
No positive cash flow or earnings history, making valuation metrics unreliable
Price/Sales of 69.38 is unsustainable and far exceeds industry norms (avg: 137.58% growth but lower valuation multiples)

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