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ACMR

BEARISH
$46.38 Live
ACM Research, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $70.5 (+52.0%)
$16.82 52W Range $71.65

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
87%
ACMR's Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress, with weak operational and profitability health. The Altman Z-Score is unavailable, but the company's negative earnings growth (-77.7% YoY) and declining EPS trend signal deteriorating fundamentals. Despite a strong gross margin (44.39%) and low debt/equity (0.15), the sharp drop in earnings and poor recent earnings surprises (average -20.81% over last 4 quarters) undermine confidence. The stock trades at a premium to its Graham Number ($26.23) and intrinsic value ($9.59), suggesting overvaluation relative to conservative metrics. Insider selling of $16.59M in the last 6 months further reinforces bearish sentiment.

Key Strengths

Strong gross margin of 44.39% indicates pricing power and efficient production
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.15 reflects conservative capital structure and financial stability
High current and quick ratios (3.27 and 2.30) suggest strong short-term liquidity
Positive historical earnings surprises in prior quarters indicate potential for recovery
Analyst consensus remains 'buy' with a target price of $70.50, implying upside potential

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial weakness and poor operational efficiency
Earnings have collapsed by 77.7% YoY and 74.1% Q/Q, indicating severe profitability deterioration
Recent insider selling of $16.59M in 6 months reflects negative sentiment from insiders
Stock trades at 33.85x P/E and 3.38x Price/Sales, significantly above Graham Number and intrinsic value
Average earnings surprise of -20.81% over last 4 quarters shows persistent underperformance vs expectations
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.59
-79.3% below current price

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