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ADEA Adeia Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ADEA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Current Price Live
$18.8
Analyst Target
$22.75
+21.0% Upside
52W High
$20.33
52W Low
$10.59

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$2.06B
P/E
28.06
ROE
18.5%
Profit margin
19.3%
Debt/Equity
1.08
Dividend yield
1.09%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
ADEA's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health, though not strong, with solid profitability and liquidity evidenced by a 3.72 current ratio and 36.87% operating margin. However, the company faces significant headwinds with a -52.9% YoY earnings decline and minimal revenue growth (1.40%), undermining long-term sustainability. The Graham Number of $7.55 and intrinsic value of $4.69 suggest deep undervaluation, yet the current price of $18.80 reflects a premium driven by growth expectations and sector-wide valuation inflation. Analysts show no consensus, and technical momentum is weak, signaling caution despite defensive valuation metrics.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health with positive operating cash flow and no recent equity issuance
Exceptional gross margin of 100.00% suggests high pricing power or low cost structure
Strong operating margin of 36.87% reflects efficient cost management and operational discipline
High current and quick ratios (3.72 and 3.51) indicate robust short-term liquidity and low default risk
Historical earnings surprise patterns show strong upside potential in select quarters (e.g., +57.6% in 2021)

Key Risks

Significant -52.9% YoY earnings decline and only 1.40% revenue growth signal deteriorating business momentum
Negative Q/Q earnings growth of -54.3% indicates worsening profitability trends
Forward P/E of 13.30 is misleading due to negative earnings base; actual earnings are declining
No Altman Z-Score available, but high debt/equity (1.08) and declining earnings raise solvency concerns
Technical trend score of 10/100 reflects strong bearish momentum, with price near 52-week high but recent 1-month decline
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.55
-59.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
54
Moderate
Value
65
Future
42
Past
68
Health
55
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Stable Piotroski F-Score (6/9), High gross and operating margins, Declining earnings and revenue growth, Weak technical momentum, Lack of analyst consensus
Confidence
78%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Graham Number of $7.55 suggests undervaluation
  • Intrinsic value of $4.69 is well below current price
  • P/E of 28.06 is elevated but justified by forward P/E of 13.30
Watchpoints
  • Current price of $18.80 is 150% above Graham Number
  • Forward P/E is based on shrinking earnings base
  • Price/Sales of 5.42 is high for a low-growth firm
Future
42/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 13.30 implies market expects earnings recovery
  • Historical earnings surprises show potential for upside beats
Watchpoints
  • YoY earnings growth is -52.9%
  • Revenue growth is only 1.40%
  • Q/Q earnings decline of -54.3% indicates worsening trajectory
Past
68/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 reflects consistent financial discipline
  • High gross margin (100.00%) has been sustained
  • Strong historical earnings surprises (e.g., +57.6%)
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings have deteriorated sharply
  • Last 4 quarters show 2 misses and average -4.08% surprise
  • 2024-11-07 and 2025-11-03 were significant misses (-32.4%, -18.2%)
Health
55/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health
  • High current and quick ratios (3.72, 3.51) show strong liquidity
  • No indication of recent debt overhang or equity dilution
Watchpoints
  • No Altman Z-Score available; however, debt/equity of 1.08 is high for a software firm
  • Declining earnings reduce capacity to service debt
  • No available EV/EBITDA or FCF data limits health assessment
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 1.09% is modest but stable
  • Payout ratio of 30.77% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates weak investor appeal
  • No 5-year yield history or ex-dividend date available
  • Low dividend yield relative to sector peers

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$18.8
Analyst Target
$22.75
Upside/Downside
+21.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADEA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ADEA
Adeia Inc.
Primary
+124.0% +83.8% +44.5% +26.5% -0.8% +3.9%
APPN
Appian Corporation
Peer
-84.2% -26.3% -11.8% +0.3% -18.6% +3.8%
ASGN
ASGN Incorporated
Peer
-43.5% -42.0% -44.9% -6.8% +2.4% +4.2%
BB
BlackBerry Limited
Peer
-78.8% -10.5% -8.4% -2.3% -4.3% -1.6%
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
Peer
-59.5% +4.6% -51.5% -13.4% -25.8% -17.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
28.06
Forward P/E
13.3
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.97
P/S Ratio
5.42
EV/Revenue
6.3
EV/EBITDA
11.72
Market Cap
$2.06B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 19.32%
Operating Margin 36.87%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 18.54%
ROA 8.47%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.4%
Earnings Growth -52.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -54.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.08
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.72
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.51
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.05

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-23
$N/A
2025-11-03
$0.28
-18.2% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.25
+2.7% surprise
2025-05-05
$0.26
+3.3% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ADEA against 149 companies in the Technology sector (11 bullish, 68 neutral, 70 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.06
This Stock
vs
80.48
Sector Avg
-65.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.54%
This Stock
vs
-6.46%
Sector Avg
-386.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
19.32%
This Stock
vs
-9.27%
Sector Avg
-308.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.08
This Stock
vs
0.7
Sector Avg
+55.2% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.4%
This Stock
vs
61.63%
Sector Avg
-97.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.72
This Stock
vs
3.39
Sector Avg
+9.7% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ADEA
Adeia Inc.
NEUTRAL $2.06B 28.06 18.5% 19.3% $18.8
APPN
Appian Corporation
NEUTRAL $2.2B - -% -1.1% $29.71
ASGN
ASGN Incorporated
NEUTRAL $2.24B 17.48 7.2% 3.3% $51.04
BB
BlackBerry Limited
BEARISH $2.25B 95.5 2.9% 4.0% $3.82
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
BEARISH $1.83B - -12.7% -10.6% $17.43

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
BWS Financial
2025-12-29
Maintains
Buy Buy
Maxim Group
2025-12-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-12-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-12-22
Maintains
Buy Buy
BWS Financial
2025-11-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-11-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
BWS Financial
2025-10-06
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ADEA from our newsroom.

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