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ADEA Adeia Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ADEA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Current Price Live
$19.01
Analyst Target
$22.75
+19.7% Upside
52W High
$20.33
52W Low
$10.59

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 21, 2026
Market cap
$2.08B
P/E
29.25
ROE
18.5%
Profit margin
19.3%
Debt/Equity
1.08
Dividend yield
1.08%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
ADEA's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health, though not strong, with solid profitability and liquidity evidenced by high margins and current ratios. However, the company faces significant headwinds with a 52.9% YoY earnings decline and minimal revenue growth, undermining long-term sustainability. The Graham Number of $7.43 and intrinsic value of $4.55 suggest deep undervaluation on a defensive basis, yet the current price of $19.01 trades at a premium, reflecting high growth expectations not currently supported by fundamentals. The technical trend is bearish, and insider sentiment is weak, adding caution. Analysts show no consensus, with a target price of $22.75 implying modest upside.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health with positive operating cash flow and no new debt issuance
Exceptional gross margin of 100.00% suggests high pricing power or low cost structure
Strong operating margin of 36.87% and ROE of 18.54% reflect efficient capital use and profitability
High current and quick ratios (3.72 and 3.51) indicate strong short-term liquidity and low default risk
Historical earnings surprise history shows periods of strong beat rates, indicating potential for upside momentum

Key Risks

52.9% YoY earnings decline and only 1.4% revenue growth signal deteriorating business momentum
Forward P/E of 13.45 is misleading given negative earnings growth; current P/E of 29.25 is elevated relative to growth
Technical trend at 10/100 reflects strong bearish momentum, with recent 1-month decline of 4.4%
Insider sentiment at 40/100 and lack of clear insider buying suggest limited confidence from management
No Altman Z-Score available, but a debt/equity ratio of 1.08 and negative earnings growth raise solvency concerns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.43
-60.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
56
Moderate
Value
55
Future
48
Past
70
Health
65
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Stable Piotroski F-Score and strong margins provide a foundation, Negative earnings growth and weak revenue expansion undermine future outlook, High valuation multiples relative to growth suggest overpricing, Strong liquidity and profitability offset some deterioration, Lack of analyst consensus and bearish technicals reduce conviction
Confidence
78%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Graham Number of $7.43 suggests defensive undervaluation
  • Intrinsic value of $4.55 provides a conservative floor
Watchpoints
  • Current price of $19.01 is 155% above Graham Number
  • P/E of 29.25 is high for a company with near-zero revenue growth
  • Price/Sales of 5.48 is elevated compared to sector peers
Future
48/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 13.45 implies potential earnings recovery
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +12.0% suggests stabilization
Watchpoints
  • YoY earnings growth of -52.9% indicates severe contraction
  • Revenue growth of only 1.4% is stagnant in a high-growth sector
  • No clear guidance or forward momentum in earnings
Past
70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical earnings surprises show strong beat rates (e.g., +57.6%, +45.6%)
  • Consistent profitability over 25 quarters with high margins
  • Strong ROE and ROA indicate efficient capital deployment
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings decline is unprecedented in historical context
  • Last four quarters show two misses and average surprise of -4.08%
  • 2024-11-07 and 2025-11-03 were significant misses (-32.4%, -18.2%)
Health
65/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health
  • High current and quick ratios (3.72, 3.51) show strong liquidity
  • No indication of new debt issuance or equity dilution
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 1.08 is above sector average (0.70)
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but negative earnings growth raises distress risk
  • Negative earnings growth may impair ability to service debt
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 1.08% is modest but consistent
  • Payout ratio of 30.77% is sustainable and conservative
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates weak investor appeal
  • No 5-year yield history or ex-dividend date listed
  • Low yield relative to sector peers

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$19.01
Analyst Target
$22.75
Upside/Downside
+19.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADEA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-20
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ADEA
Adeia Inc.
Primary
+122.9% +96.9% +12.7% +23.4% -4.4% +1.1%
APPN
Appian Corporation
Peer
-84.2% -26.3% -11.8% +0.3% -18.6% +3.8%
ASGN
ASGN Incorporated
Peer
-43.5% -42.0% -44.9% -6.8% +2.4% +4.2%
BB
BlackBerry Limited
Peer
-78.8% -10.5% -8.4% -2.3% -4.3% -1.6%
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
Peer
-59.5% +4.6% -51.5% -13.4% -25.8% -17.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
29.25
Forward P/E
13.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.03
P/S Ratio
5.48
EV/Revenue
6.22
EV/EBITDA
11.57
Market Cap
$2.08B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 19.32%
Operating Margin 36.87%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 18.54%
ROA 8.47%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.4%
Earnings Growth -52.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -54.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.08
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.72
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.51
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.05

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-23
$N/A
2025-11-03
$0.28
-18.2% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.25
+2.7% surprise
2025-05-05
$0.26
+3.3% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ADEA against 149 companies in the Technology sector (11 bullish, 67 neutral, 71 bearish)
P/E Ratio
29.25
This Stock
vs
80.58
Sector Avg
-63.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.54%
This Stock
vs
-6.46%
Sector Avg
-386.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
19.32%
This Stock
vs
-9.26%
Sector Avg
-308.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.08
This Stock
vs
0.7
Sector Avg
+55.3% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.4%
This Stock
vs
61.74%
Sector Avg
-97.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.72
This Stock
vs
3.39
Sector Avg
+9.8% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ADEA
Adeia Inc.
NEUTRAL $2.08B 29.25 18.5% 19.3% $19.01
APPN
Appian Corporation
NEUTRAL $2.2B - -% -1.1% $29.71
ASGN
ASGN Incorporated
NEUTRAL $2.24B 17.48 7.2% 3.3% $51.04
BB
BlackBerry Limited
BEARISH $2.25B 95.5 2.9% 4.0% $3.82
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
BEARISH $1.83B - -12.7% -10.6% $17.43

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
BWS Financial
2025-12-29
Maintains
Buy Buy
Maxim Group
2025-12-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-12-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-12-22
Maintains
Buy Buy
BWS Financial
2025-11-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-11-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
BWS Financial
2025-10-06
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ADEA from our newsroom.

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