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ADI Analog Devices, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ADI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductors
Current Price Live
$337.1
Analyst Target
$317.69
-5.8% Downside
52W High
$343.96
52W Low
$158.65

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$165.06B
P/E
72.49
ROE
6.6%
Profit margin
20.6%
Debt/Equity
0.27
Dividend yield
1.2%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) exhibits mixed fundamentals despite strong profitability and growth metrics. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling potential distress in operational efficiency and capital structure. While the company trades at a premium valuation with a forward P/E of 29.33 and a current price of $337.10, its intrinsic value estimate of $137.18 suggests significant overvaluation. The Graham Number of $85.0 further underscores that the stock is trading at a substantial premium, likely driven by high growth expectations. Insider selling activity over the past six months, totaling $20.94M, adds bearish sentiment despite a 'buy' recommendation from analysts.

Key Strengths

Strong gross margin of 61.47% and operating margin of 30.50% indicate excellent pricing power and cost control
Robust revenue and earnings growth of 25.90% and 66.10% YoY, respectively, reflecting strong market demand
Consistent earnings beat history with an average surprise of 5.28% over the last four quarters
Healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 and strong current ratio of 2.19 suggest solid financial stability
High forward P/E of 29.33 is justified by strong growth, placing it favorably relative to peers like QCOM and TXN

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, raising concerns about operational efficiency and capital management
Insider selling activity (11 transactions, $20.94M) over the last six months signals potential lack of confidence from leadership
Dividend payout ratio of 85.31% is unsustainable in the long term, especially with high growth expectations
Current price of $337.10 is nearly 2.5x the Graham Number ($85.0) and 2.5x the intrinsic value ($137.18), indicating severe overvaluation
Technical trend score of 10/100 reflects strong bearish momentum, with price near 52-week high and no clear upward momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$137.18
-59.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
51
Moderate
Value
35
Future
85
Past
75
Health
40
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Strong growth and margins offset by overvaluation and weak financial health, High insider selling and elevated payout ratio reduce confidence, Analyst buy rating contradicts technical and fundamental red flags
Confidence
80%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 29.33 is below sector average of 80.53, suggesting relative value on growth
  • Growth-adjusted valuation may be justified if growth persists
Watchpoints
  • Current price is 2.5x the Graham Number ($85.0) and 2.5x the intrinsic value ($137.18)
  • No PEG ratio available, but high forward P/E with high growth implies premium pricing
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 25.90% YoY revenue growth and 66.10% earnings growth indicate strong momentum
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 64.80% shows acceleration in profitability
Watchpoints
  • Sustained high growth may be difficult to maintain given current valuation
  • High payout ratio limits reinvestment capacity for future growth
Past
75/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 25 consecutive quarters of earnings beat or near-beat, with average surprise of 5.28%
  • Consistent EPS progression with multiple quarters exceeding estimates by >5%
Watchpoints
  • Recent quarter (2026-02-18) has no actual data, creating a gap in trend continuity
  • Historical ROE of 6.57% is low for a high-growth tech firm
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.27 and current ratio of 2.19 indicate strong liquidity and low leverage
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but no distress signals in balance sheet
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below threshold for financial health (4-6 stable, <4 weak)
  • Low ROE (6.57%) and ROA (3.89%) suggest inefficient use of capital
Dividend
20/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 1.20% is modest but consistent with growth stock profile
  • Dividend rate of $3.96 is stable and supported by earnings
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 85.31% is extremely high and unsustainable long-term
  • High payout ratio reduces retained earnings for reinvestment and growth

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$337.1
Analyst Target
$317.69
Upside/Downside
-5.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
Primary
+129.2% +94.5% +63.7% +46.6% +13.1% +5.2%
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
Peer
+609.0% +347.9% +5.6% +19.3% +4.3% +5.0%
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
Peer
+8.4% +41.9% +1.0% +4.1% -7.5% -10.3%
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
Peer
+26.8% +19.6% +5.6% -10.1% +9.8% +0.7%
ACN
Accenture plc
Peer
+19.4% +6.6% -21.9% -0.7% +4.1% -1.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
72.49
Forward P/E
29.33
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.88
P/S Ratio
14.98
EV/Revenue
15.46
EV/EBITDA
34.11
Market Cap
$165.06B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.57%
Operating Margin 30.5%
Gross Margin 61.47%
ROE 6.57%
ROA 3.89%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +25.9%
Earnings Growth +66.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +64.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.27
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.19
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.57
Excellent
Cash/Share
$7.46

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-18
$N/A
2025-11-25
$2.26
+1.1% surprise
2025-08-20
$2.05
+5.3% surprise
2025-05-22
$1.85
+9.4% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ADI against 149 companies in the Technology sector (11 bullish, 68 neutral, 70 bearish)
P/E Ratio
72.49
This Stock
vs
80.48
Sector Avg
-9.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.57%
This Stock
vs
-6.46%
Sector Avg
-201.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.57%
This Stock
vs
-9.27%
Sector Avg
-322.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.27
This Stock
vs
0.7
Sector Avg
-62.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
25.9%
This Stock
vs
61.63%
Sector Avg
-58.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.19
This Stock
vs
3.39
Sector Avg
-35.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
BEARISH $165.06B 72.49 6.6% 20.6% $337.1
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
NEUTRAL $171.69B 52.64 31.7% 39.7% $136.34
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
NEUTRAL $172.01B 31.88 23.3% 12.5% $159.42
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
NEUTRAL $174.17B 34.96 29.8% 29.2% $191.58
ACN
Accenture plc
NEUTRAL $174.3B 23.58 25.0% 10.8% $281.07

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-02-05 STATA RAYMOND S Director Sale 6,250 $1,996,201
2026-02-02 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Sale 10,000 $3,069,200
2026-02-02 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 10,000 $944,100
2026-01-14 STATA RAYMOND S Director Sale 6,250 $1,852,754
2026-01-09 NAKAMURA KATSUFUMI Officer Sale 500 $150,732
2026-01-07 NAKAMURA KATSUFUMI Officer Sale 500 $144,582
2026-01-05 COTTER MARTIN Officer Sale 10,000 $2,784,450
2026-01-02 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Sale 10,000 $2,750,700
2026-01-02 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 10,000 $944,100
2025-12-17 COTTER MARTIN Officer Sale 5,000 $1,355,950
2025-12-17 STATA RAYMOND S Director Sale 6,250 $1,727,804
2025-12-12 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Sale 10,000 $2,824,200
2025-12-12 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 10,000 $944,100
2025-12-10 SONDEL MICHAEL Officer Sale 8,169 $2,283,235
2025-12-10 SONDEL MICHAEL Officer Option Exercise 8,169 $795,021
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
32 analysts
Barclays
2026-02-13
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Susquehanna
2026-01-22
Maintains
Positive Positive
B of A Securities
2026-01-21
Maintains
Buy Buy
Stifel
2026-01-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
Oppenheimer
2026-01-16
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Citigroup
2026-01-15
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-01-15
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Keybanc
2026-01-13
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2025-12-19
Maintains
Hold Hold
UBS
2025-12-08
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ADI from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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