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ADI Analog Devices, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH
ADI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductors
Current Price
$234.89
Analyst Target
$269.91
+14.9% Upside
52W High
$258.13
52W Low
$158.65

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Nov 16, 2025
Market cap
$116.85B
P/E
59.92
ROE
5.7%
Profit margin
18.8%
Debt/Equity
0.26
Dividend yield
1.69%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
Analog Devices (ADI) demonstrates strong fundamental momentum with robust 24.6% YoY revenue growth and 31.6% earnings growth, underpinned by consistent quarterly earnings beats (22 of 25 quarters) and expanding margins. Despite a high P/E of 59.92, the stock trades at a discount to its forward P/E of 31.15, reflecting strong earnings trajectory and a favorable sector context where ADI’s valuation appears reasonable versus the Technology sector’s average P/E of 160.55. The company maintains solid financial health with a low debt/equity ratio of 0.26 and healthy liquidity, while analyst consensus strongly supports upside with a $269.91 target implying 15% appreciation. However, recent insider selling—$25.13M in sales by executives and directors—raises caution, though it does not override the broader positive fundamentals and growth outlook.

Key Strengths

24.6% YoY revenue growth and 31.6% YoY earnings growth significantly outpace the Technology sector average of 19.25% revenue growth
Consistent earnings execution: 22 of 25 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of 6.77% over the last four quarters
Exceptional gross margin of 60.15%, reflecting strong pricing power and cost discipline in the high-performance analog semiconductor space
Superior financial health with debt/equity of 0.26, well below the sector average of 0.79, and current ratio of 2.32 indicating strong liquidity
Attractive valuation relative to peers: despite a high trailing P/E, forward P/E of 31.15 is well below sector average of 160.55 and implies strong earnings inflection

Key Risks

Elevated trailing P/E of 59.92 suggests potential overvaluation if growth slows or macro conditions deteriorate
Payout ratio of 97.20% is extremely high, leaving minimal margin for dividend sustainability if earnings dip
Recent insider selling totaling $25.13M over the past six months, including sales by CEO and directors, signals potential lack of confidence at the top
Limited cash flow data (missing Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow) creates opacity in capital allocation and reinvestment capacity
ROE of 5.65% is weak relative to sector average of 27.65% and peers like ADBE (52.88%) and TXN (29.76%), indicating inefficient use of equity capital
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$269.91
+14.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
79
Strong
Value
78
Future
90
Past
87
Health
84
Dividend
55
AI Verdict
ADI presents a compelling investment case driven by strong growth, margin leadership, and favorable forward valuation relative to peers, despite red flags around insider selling and low ROE; the $269.91 target implies 15% upside, supported by robust earnings momentum and sector tailwinds in industrial and automotive analog demand.
Key drivers: Accelerating earnings growth and consistent beat rate, High gross margins and strong operating leverage, Attractive forward valuation relative to sector
Confidence
88%
Value
78/100

ADI’s valuation appears stretched on trailing metrics but becomes attractive on a forward basis, especially when compared to unprofitable high-flyers like SNOW and CRWD, while still trading at a discount to the sector’s sky-high average P/E

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 31.15 is reasonable given 24.6% revenue growth and sector average P/E of 160.55
  • Price/Sales of 11.25 is high but justified by superior margins and profitability
Watchpoints
  • Trailing P/E of 59.92 is elevated and sensitive to growth deceleration
  • Price/Book of 3.39 lacks support from strong ROE, which is only 5.65%
Future
90/100

ADI’s growth trajectory remains strong with accelerating earnings and positive price momentum over 5Y (+85.9%) and 3Y (+50.0%), though 1Y and 6M returns lag high-growth peers like SNOW and CRWD, suggesting room to run if execution continues

Positives
  • 24.6% YoY revenue growth and 31.6% earnings growth indicate strong demand and execution
  • Q/Q EPS growth of 10.8% shows sustained momentum into recent periods
Watchpoints
  • Lack of Q/Q revenue growth data limits visibility into near-term inflection
  • Macro sensitivity in industrial and automotive end markets could pressure future guidance
Past
87/100

ADI has delivered exceptional earnings consistency over five years, with only two misses in 25 quarters, and strong long-term price appreciation (+85.9% over 5Y), though margin expansion has not translated into strong returns on equity

Positives
  • 22 of 25 quarters beat EPS estimates, demonstrating reliable execution and conservative guidance
  • Gross margin has remained above 60% consistently, reflecting durable competitive advantages
Watchpoints
  • ROE has averaged below 6%, indicating persistent capital inefficiency despite profitability
  • Recent quarters show slight deceleration in beat magnitude, from double-digit surprises in 2024 to mid-single digits in 2025
Health
84/100

ADI’s leverage is minimal and liquidity strong compared to peers like TXN (debt/equity 0.84) and SNOW (1.13), but lack of cash flow transparency introduces uncertainty despite apparent financial stability

Positives
  • Debt/equity ratio of 0.26 is conservative and well below sector average of 0.79
  • Current ratio of 2.32 and quick ratio of 1.69 indicate strong short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Missing total cash and debt figures limit full assessment of balance sheet strength
  • No free cash flow data prevents evaluation of cash conversion and capital return capacity
Dividend
55/100

The dividend offers modest yield but is at risk due to the 97.2% payout ratio, which is unsustainable long-term without earnings growth; this contrasts with peers like TXN, which maintain lower payouts with higher coverage

Positives
  • 1.69% dividend yield provides modest income appeal in a growth sector
  • Dividend has been maintained consistently, reflecting capital return discipline
Watchpoints
  • 97.20% payout ratio is dangerously high and leaves little room for shocks
  • No dividend growth visibility provided, and high payout limits reinvestment flexibility

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$234.89
Analyst Target
$269.91
Upside/Downside
+14.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADI and closest competitors.

Updated 2025-11-14
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
Primary
+85.9% +50.0% +12.6% +4.3% -1.4% +2.8%
ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
Peer
+58.4% +6.6% -14.4% -19.9% -10.9% -0.4%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
Peer
+308.5% +262.5% +56.1% +22.4% +9.9% -0.4%
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
Peer
+6.3% +57.2% +98.8% +40.4% +6.7% -2.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
59.92
Forward P/E
31.15
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.39
P/S Ratio
11.25
EV/Revenue
11.63
EV/EBITDA
26.0
Market Cap
$116.85B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 18.85%
Operating Margin 28.55%
Gross Margin 60.15%
ROE 5.65%
ROA 3.39%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +24.6%
Earnings Growth +31.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +32.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.26
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.32
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.69
Excellent
Cash/Share
$7.05

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2025-11-25
$N/A
2025-08-20
$2.05
+5.3% surprise
2025-05-22
$1.85
+9.4% surprise
2025-02-19
$1.63
+5.6% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ADI against 38 companies in the Technology sector (13 bullish, 18 neutral, 1 bearish)
P/E Ratio
59.92
This Stock
vs
114.31
Sector Avg
-47.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.65%
This Stock
vs
25.54%
Sector Avg
-77.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.85%
This Stock
vs
17.79%
Sector Avg
+5.9% (Better)
Debt to Equity
0.26
This Stock
vs
0.78
Sector Avg
-67.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
24.6%
This Stock
vs
19.4%
Sector Avg
+26.8% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
2.32
This Stock
vs
1.97
Sector Avg
+17.7% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
BULLISH $116.85B 59.92 5.7% 18.8% $234.89
ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
NEUTRAL $102.98B 25.01 70.6% 19.8% $253.09
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL $134.9B - -8.9% -6.8% $537.55
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
NEUTRAL $141.09B 21.01 52.9% 30.0% $337.05
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
NEUTRAL $87.08B - -42.4% -33.5% $257.02

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-05 STATA RAYMOND S Director Sale 6,250 $1,455,357
2025-11-03 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Sale 10,000 $2,349,500
2025-11-03 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 10,000 $944,100
2025-10-07 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Gift 11,306 -
2025-10-06 FRANK EDWARD H. PH.D. Director Sale 1,000 $242,740
2025-10-02 STATA RAYMOND S Director Sale 6,250 $1,510,268
2025-10-01 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Sale 10,000 $2,437,100
2025-10-01 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 10,000 $944,100
2025-09-18 STATA RAYMOND S Director Sale 6,250 $1,551,663
2025-09-05 COTTER MARTIN Officer Sale 12,500 $3,078,092
2025-09-02 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Sale 10,000 $2,465,000
2025-09-02 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 10,000 $944,100
2025-08-27 ROCHE VINCENT T Chief Executive Officer Sale 20,000 $5,085,818
2025-08-21 NAKAMURA KATSUFUMI Officer Sale 2,490 $617,595
2025-08-21 NAKAMURA KATSUFUMI Officer Option Exercise 2,490 $226,914
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
33 analysts
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-09-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-08-21
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-21
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2025-08-21
Maintains
Hold Hold
JP Morgan
2025-08-21
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-08-21
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Barclays
2025-08-21
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-08-21
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Keybanc
2025-08-21
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Benchmark
2025-08-21
Maintains
Buy Buy