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ADMA ADMA Biologics, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ADMA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Biotechnology
Current Price Live
$16.09
Analyst Target
$25.67
+59.5% Upside
52W High
$25.67
52W Low
$13.5

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$3.84B
P/E
18.08
ROE
63.2%
Profit margin
42.9%
Debt/Equity
0.19
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ADMA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling distress in operational efficiency and profitability sustainability. Despite strong margins and ROE, the company shows stagnant earnings growth (0% YoY) and a recent decline in technical momentum, with a 12% drop in the past month. Insider selling totaling $1.43M over six months, particularly from the CEO, raises red flags about internal confidence. The stock trades at a premium to its Graham Number ($6.02) and intrinsic value ($6.23), suggesting overvaluation given its current growth profile. Analysts have not issued a formal recommendation, but the target price of $25.67 implies a significant upside, which may not be justified by fundamentals.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high profit margins (54.71% gross, 42.87% net)
Strong ROE of 63.17% indicates efficient use of equity
Very low debt/equity ratio (0.19) and high current ratio (7.13) reflect strong financial health
Consistent positive earnings surprises in prior quarters (e.g., +62.5%, +60.0%)
Significant long-term price appreciation (507% over 5 years)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial stability and operational inefficiency
Zero earnings growth (0% YoY) despite revenue growth of 12.00%
Recent insider selling by CEO (4 transactions of 21,000 shares each) signals bearish sentiment
Stock trades at $16.09, significantly above Graham Number ($6.02) and intrinsic value ($6.23)
No analyst consensus or target price guidance, indicating lack of institutional confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.23
-61.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
34
Weak
Value
30
Future
45
Past
65
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (3/9), Stagnant earnings growth, Overvaluation relative to intrinsic value, Bearish insider activity, Lack of analyst coverage
Confidence
88%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • High profit margins and ROE suggest strong underlying profitability
  • Low debt/equity ratio supports value stability
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($16.09) is over 2.5x the Graham Number ($6.02)
  • Intrinsic value estimate ($6.23) is significantly below market price
  • No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 12.00% revenue growth (YoY) indicates top-line expansion
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +14.3% shows improving momentum
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth is flat (0% YoY)
  • No forward PEG ratio available, limiting growth assessment
  • Analyst target price ($25.67) is not supported by current earnings trends
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat history (2/4 in last 4 quarters)
  • Strong historical EPS progression with multiple large positive surprises
  • 5-year price return of +507% reflects strong investor confidence
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings misses (e.g., -33.3% surprise in Q1 2025)
  • Negative EPS in multiple prior quarters, indicating early-stage losses
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Extremely low debt/equity (0.19)
  • High current and quick ratios (7.13 and 3.52) indicate strong liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but F-Score below 4 implies distress risk
  • Lack of cash flow data raises concerns about sustainability
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Dividend Strength: 0/100
  • Payout Ratio: 0.00%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$16.09
Analyst Target
$25.67
Upside/Downside
+59.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADMA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ADMA
ADMA Biologics, Inc.
Primary
+507.2% +348.2% +0.1% -5.3% -12.0% -2.1%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Peer
-55.1% +15.3% +11.4% -13.0% -18.0% -6.5%
ACLX
Arcellx, Inc.
Peer
+307.7% +127.2% +7.5% -7.5% -1.9% +0.7%
BLLN
BillionToOne, Inc.
Peer
-19.6% -19.6% -19.6% -19.6% +1.4% -1.3%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
+176.1% +531.6% +52.0% +66.1% +4.0% -0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
18.08
Forward P/E
17.12
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
8.89
P/S Ratio
7.86
EV/Revenue
7.88
EV/EBITDA
22.0
Market Cap
$3.84B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 42.87%
Operating Margin 38.01%
Gross Margin 54.71%
ROE 63.17%
ROA 21.76%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +12.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +1.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.19
Low debt
Current Ratio
7.13
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.52
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.26

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-02
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.16
+2.6% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.14
+7.4% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.11
-33.3% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ADMA against 146 companies in the Healthcare sector (10 bullish, 60 neutral, 76 bearish)
P/E Ratio
18.08
This Stock
vs
197.69
Sector Avg
-90.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
63.17%
This Stock
vs
-56.84%
Sector Avg
-211.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
42.87%
This Stock
vs
-20.8%
Sector Avg
-306.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.19
This Stock
vs
2.68
Sector Avg
-92.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
12.0%
This Stock
vs
61.93%
Sector Avg
-80.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
7.13
This Stock
vs
3.47
Sector Avg
+105.7% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ADMA
ADMA Biologics, Inc.
BEARISH $3.84B 18.08 63.2% 42.9% $16.09
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
BULLISH $3.73B 13.94 35.0% 24.9% $22.03
ACLX
Arcellx, Inc.
BEARISH $3.96B - -47.2% -% $68.5
BLLN
BillionToOne, Inc.
NEUTRAL $4.01B - -% -4.4% $87.57
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
NEUTRAL $4.21B 1339.0 -% 0.2% $13.39

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-02-09 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 282,529 -
2026-02-09 GUIHEEN LAWRENCE P Director Stock Award 10,690 -
2026-02-09 FINGER ALISON CECILY Director Stock Award 10,690 -
2026-02-09 KWON YOUNG T. PH.D. Director Stock Award 10,690 -
2026-02-09 SALAS EDUARDO RENE Director Stock Award 10,690 -
2026-02-09 KESTENBERG-MESSINA KAITLIN M. Officer Stock Award 91,631 -
2026-02-09 GROSSMAN JERROLD B Director Stock Award 10,690 -
2025-12-15 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Sale 21,000 $415,590
2025-12-15 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 15,000 $81,000
2025-11-19 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Sale 21,000 $336,000
2025-11-19 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 15,000 $81,000
2025-10-24 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Sale 21,000 $336,000
2025-10-24 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 15,000 $81,000
2025-09-15 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Sale 21,000 $338,730
2025-09-15 GROSSMAN ADAM S Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 15,000 $81,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ADMA from our newsroom.

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