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ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ADP Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Current Price Live
$214.47
Analyst Target
$278.36
+29.8% Upside
52W High
$329.93
52W Low
$208.62

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Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
ADP's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a borderline healthy financial position, signaling stability but not strength, with no Altman Z-Score available to assess bankruptcy risk. The stock trades at a premium to its Graham Number ($60.93) and intrinsic value ($252.2), suggesting valuation is driven by growth expectations rather than conservative fundamentals. Despite strong profitability metrics—especially ROE (73.84%) and gross margin (48.35%)—the low quick ratio (0.08) and weak technical trend (0/100) raise liquidity and momentum concerns. Insider selling activity over the past six months adds bearish sentiment, though dividend strength and earnings consistency provide some support.

Key Strengths

Exceptional ROE of 73.84% indicates efficient use of shareholder equity
High gross margin (48.35%) and strong operating margin (26.28%) reflect pricing power and cost control
Consistent earnings beat rate (3/4 in last 4 quarters) with positive average surprise (+1.33%)
Attractive dividend yield of 3.17% with a sustainable payout ratio of 60.71%
Strong historical earnings progression with multiple quarters exceeding estimates by over 5%

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests marginal financial health, indicating potential weaknesses in operational efficiency or capital structure
Extremely low quick ratio (0.08) raises serious concerns about short-term liquidity and ability to meet immediate obligations
Insider selling activity (7 transactions, $1.19M value) over the last 6 months signals bearish sentiment from within the company
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), with the stock down 29.7% over the past year and 16.6% in the last month
Trading at a significant premium to both Graham Number ($60.93) and intrinsic value ($252.2), implying high growth expectations that may not be sustainable
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$252.2
+17.6% above current price

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