ADSK Autodesk, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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ADSK Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Technology
Software - Application
Current Price
Live
$231.22
Analyst Target
$361.91
+56.5%
Upside
52W High
$329.09
52W Low
$216.01
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$49.25B
P/E
43.46
ROE
40.3%
Profit margin
16.1%
Debt/Equity
0.95
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
Autodesk (ADSK) exhibits mixed fundamental health, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating a borderline stable financial position, and no Altman Z-Score available to assess bankruptcy risk. The company demonstrates strong profitability (ROE: 40.33%, gross margin: 92.13%) and solid revenue and earnings growth (18% and 26% YoY), supported by consistent earnings beats and positive Q/Q EPS growth. However, valuation remains stretched (P/E: 43.46, Forward P/E: 19.86), and the stock trades significantly above both the Graham Number ($40.42) and intrinsic value estimate ($156.94), suggesting a premium justified by growth expectations. Insider selling activity over the past six months adds bearish sentiment despite strong analyst consensus.
Key Strengths
High profitability with ROE of 40.33% and gross margin of 92.13%
Consistent earnings beat rate (3 out of last 4 quarters) with average surprise of 6.86%
Strong revenue and earnings growth (18% and 26% YoY respectively)
Positive forward P/E of 19.86, indicating market optimism on future earnings
High analyst consensus with 'strong_buy' recommendation from 31 analysts
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests borderline financial health, indicating potential weaknesses in operational efficiency or capital structure
Current price of $231.22 is significantly above both Graham Number ($40.42) and intrinsic value ($156.94), implying high valuation risk
Insider selling activity (5 transactions, $11.43M total) signals potential lack of confidence among executives
Weak liquidity ratios (Current Ratio: 0.82, Quick Ratio: 0.65) suggest short-term financial strain
No dividend policy (0/100) limits income appeal and may reflect reinvestment focus or capital constraints
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$156.94
-32.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
50
Moderate
52
78
72
50
0
AI Verdict
Neutral
Key drivers: Strong profitability and growth metrics, High valuation multiples relative to intrinsic value, Mixed financial health (Piotroski F-Score: 4), Bearish insider activity, Positive analyst sentiment
Confidence
78%
Value
52/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 19.86 is attractive relative to sector average of 80.52
- Intrinsic value estimate of $156.94 provides a baseline for undervaluation
Watchpoints
- Current price ($231.22) is 47% above intrinsic value
- P/E of 43.46 is high relative to historical and peer benchmarks
- Price/Sales of 7.15 indicates premium valuation
Future
78/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 18% YoY revenue growth and 26% earnings growth indicate strong momentum
- Forward P/E of 19.86 suggests earnings growth is expected to accelerate
- Consistent earnings beat history supports future performance
Watchpoints
- No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
- High growth expectations may be difficult to sustain
Past
72/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 25 consecutive quarters of earnings beat or exceed estimates
- Average EPS surprise of 6.86% over last 4 quarters
- Positive Q/Q EPS growth of 1.9%
Watchpoints
- 52-week high of $329.09 suggests significant price volatility
- 1-year return of -23.8% indicates recent underperformance
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- ROE of 40.33% and ROA of 9.74% reflect strong capital efficiency
- Operating margin of 25.69% shows strong operational control
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline financial health
- Current ratio (0.82) and quick ratio (0.65) below 1.0 suggest liquidity concerns
- Debt/Equity of 0.95 is above sector average (0.70)
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$231.22
Analyst Target
$361.91
Upside/Downside
+56.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADSK and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
Primary
|
-25.0% | +1.4% | -23.8% | -19.4% | -11.5% | -3.8% |
|
WDAY
Workday, Inc.
Peer
|
-15.5% | +12.1% | -25.5% | -19.8% | -13.5% | -9.8% |
|
ROP
Roper Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+13.4% | +4.9% | -19.9% | -22.6% | -10.1% | +0.6% |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
Peer
|
+43.1% | +19.3% | -10.3% | -6.4% | -9.3% | -3.6% |
|
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
Peer
|
+238.7% | +199.9% | +83.8% | +84.7% | +24.7% | -0.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
43.46
Forward P/E
19.86
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
16.94
P/S Ratio
7.15
EV/Revenue
7.18
EV/EBITDA
27.91
Market Cap
$49.25B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
16.13%
Operating Margin
25.69%
Gross Margin
92.13%
ROE
40.33%
ROA
9.74%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+18.0%
Earnings Growth
+26.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+24.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.95
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.82
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.65
Poor
Cash/Share
$10.8
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-25
$2.67
+6.9% surprise
2025-08-28
$2.62
+7.0% surprise
2025-05-22
$2.29
+6.7% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing ADSK against 149 companies in the Technology sector
(11 bullish, 68 neutral, 70 bearish)
P/E Ratio
43.46
This Stock
vs
80.48
Sector Avg
-46.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
40.33%
This Stock
vs
-6.46%
Sector Avg
-724.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
16.13%
This Stock
vs
-9.27%
Sector Avg
-274.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.95
This Stock
vs
0.7
Sector Avg
+35.4%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
18.0%
This Stock
vs
61.63%
Sector Avg
-70.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.82
This Stock
vs
3.39
Sector Avg
-75.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $49.25B | 43.46 | 40.3% | 16.1% | $231.22 | |
|
WDAY
Workday, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $49.89B | 78.84 | 7.3% | 7.0% | $186.86 | |
|
ROP
Roper Technologies, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $48.38B | 30.96 | 8.2% | 20.3% | $449.5 | |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
|
BULLISH | $50.64B | 24.39 | 20.9% | 17.1% | $197.1 | |
|
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $42.3B | 38.78 | 10.9% | 5.6% | $19.39 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | ANAGNOST ANDREW J | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 26,268 | - |
| 2025-09-29 | HOWARD AYANNA MACCALLA | Director | Sale | 917 | $298,025 |
| 2025-09-05 | BLUM STEVEN M | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 22,420 | $7,258,476 |
| 2025-09-03 | KEENE RUTH ANN | Officer | Sale | 2,761 | $869,991 |
| 2025-08-29 | HOWARD AYANNA MACCALLA | Director | Sale | 3,159 | $1,026,675 |
| 2025-08-29 | PEARCE REBECCA | Officer | Sale | 6,129 | $1,980,040 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
31 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-02-02
Neutral
Overweight
BTIG
2025-12-17
Buy
B of A Securities
2025-11-26
Neutral
Neutral
Macquarie
2025-11-26
Outperform
Outperform
BMO Capital
2025-11-26
Market Perform
Market Perform
Baird
2025-11-26
Outperform
Outperform
Barclays
2025-11-26
Overweight
Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-26
Overweight
Overweight
Rosenblatt
2025-11-26
Buy
Buy
Deutsche Bank
2025-11-26
Hold
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ADSK from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.