ADV Advantage Solutions Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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ADV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Communication Services
Advertising Agencies
Current Price
Live
$0.58
Analyst Target
$2.67
+359.8%
Upside
52W High
$2.74
52W Low
$0.53
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$189.24M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-29.7%
Profit margin
-7.0%
Debt/Equity
2.37
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ADV's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates poor operational and financial health, with no Altman Z-Score available to confirm bankruptcy risk. The company trades at a deeply discounted valuation (Price/Sales: 0.05, Price/Book: 0.27), but this is underpinned by negative profitability (ROE: -29.73%, Profit Margin: -6.97%), declining revenue (-2.60% YoY), and a dangerously high debt/equity ratio of 2.37. Despite a recent spike in EPS growth, the historical earnings track record shows persistent misses and large negative surprises, undermining credibility. The stock's 5-year decline of 94.2% and lack of analyst coverage further signal deep market skepticism.
Key Strengths
Trading at a significant discount to book value (Price/Book: 0.27)
Positive recent quarterly EPS growth (Q/Q: +250.0%, YoY: +125.0%)
Strong current and quick ratios (2.20 and 1.95) indicating short-term liquidity
Recent positive earnings surprise in Q4 2025 (+300%)
Low price relative to 52-week high ($0.58 vs $2.74), offering potential for recovery
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial weakness and operational instability
Negative ROE (-29.73%) and profit margin (-6.97%) indicate persistent unprofitability
Debt/Equity ratio of 2.37 is dangerously high, especially for a company with negative earnings
Revenue declining at -2.60% YoY, with no signs of recovery in recent quarters
No analyst coverage or target price consensus, indicating lack of institutional interest
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
30
Weak
65
40
25
20
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative profitability and declining revenue, High leverage (Debt/Equity: 2.37), Lack of analyst coverage, Deep price decline over 5 years
Confidence
88%
Value
65/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Book of 0.27 suggests deep undervaluation
- Price/Sales of 0.05 is extremely low
- Trading near 52-week low ($0.53), offering potential downside protection
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value due to negative earnings
- Valuation is not supported by profitability or growth
- Discount is likely a reflection of fundamental weakness, not opportunity
Future
40/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +250.0% and YoY EPS growth of +125.0%
- One recent positive earnings surprise (+300%)
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is negative (-2.60% YoY)
- No forward P/E or PEG available due to negative earnings
- Historical earnings track record shows repeated misses and large negative surprises
Past
25/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical periods of strong earnings (e.g., 2021-03: +111% surprise)
- Some quarters with positive EPS (e.g., 2025-11-06: $0.06 vs $-0.03 estimate)
Watchpoints
- 22 consecutive quarters with inconsistent results
- Average earnings surprise over last 4 quarters: -53.79%
- Multiple quarters with EPS misses exceeding 100% (e.g., -323.6%)
- Persistent negative profitability and declining revenue
Health
20/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current and quick ratios above 1.9, indicating short-term liquidity
- No Altman Z-Score available, but Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is a strong red flag
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is in the 'Weak' range, indicating high financial distress
- Negative ROE and ROA suggest poor capital efficiency
- Debt/Equity of 2.37 is unsustainable for a company with negative earnings
- No available Altman Z-Score, but the financial profile suggests distress risk
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
- Company is unprofitable and likely reinvesting or burning cash
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$0.58
Analyst Target
$2.67
Upside/Downside
+359.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADV and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADV
Advantage Solutions Inc.
Primary
|
-94.2% | -76.4% | -78.9% | -67.8% | -27.3% | -23.7% |
|
BODI
The Beachbody Company, Inc.
Peer
|
-98.0% | -62.6% | +54.7% | +133.2% | -0.6% | +10.8% |
|
AMCX
AMC Networks Inc.
Peer
|
-83.8% | -58.0% | -19.0% | +16.9% | -13.1% | -1.0% |
|
BHAT
Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology
Peer
|
-99.9% | -97.5% | -79.5% | -39.6% | -16.9% | -1.7% |
|
ATNI
ATN International, Inc.
Peer
|
-44.6% | -45.8% | +56.2% | +31.7% | +2.9% | +1.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
1.92
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.27
P/S Ratio
0.05
EV/Revenue
0.47
EV/EBITDA
4.76
Market Cap
$189.24M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-6.97%
Operating Margin
3.31%
Gross Margin
14.15%
ROE
-29.73%
ROA
2.87%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-2.6%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
2.37
High debt
Current Ratio
2.2
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.95
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.62
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-06
$N/A
2025-11-06
$0.06
+300.0% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.04
-137.8% surprise
2025-05-12
$-0.13
-323.6% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing ADV against 36 companies in the Communication Services sector
(0 bullish, 17 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-29.73%
This Stock
vs
-7.15%
Sector Avg
+316.0%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-6.97%
This Stock
vs
39.59%
Sector Avg
-117.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.37
This Stock
vs
1.11
Sector Avg
+113.2%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-2.6%
This Stock
vs
28.78%
Sector Avg
-109.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.2
This Stock
vs
2.22
Sector Avg
-0.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADV
Advantage Solutions Inc.
|
BEARISH | $189.24M | - | -29.7% | -7.0% | $0.58 | |
|
BODI
The Beachbody Company, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $76.2M | - | -102.7% | -15.1% | $10.75 | |
|
AMCX
AMC Networks Inc.
|
BEARISH | $332.11M | - | -10.9% | -6.0% | $7.63 | |
|
BHAT
Blue Hat Interactive...
|
BEARISH | $41.73M | - | -15.0% | -47.9% | $1.13 | |
|
ATNI
ATN International, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $347.56M | - | -1.9% | -1.1% | $22.78 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-02 | HARSH JEFFREY STEPHEN | Officer | Stock Award | 144,508 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-17
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ADV from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.