AEBI Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AEBI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Industrials
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Current Price
Live
$15.51
Analyst Target
$15.75
+1.5%
Upside
52W High
$33.0
52W Low
$8.91
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$1.2B
P/E
110.79
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
0.8%
Debt/Equity
1.0
Dividend yield
0.67%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AEBI's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling distress in operational efficiency and profitability despite a stable current ratio. The company trades at a high forward P/E of 17.43, yet reports a negative earnings growth of -85.3% YoY, suggesting overvaluation relative to fundamentals. The Graham Number of $5.77 implies significant downside risk, as the current price of $15.51 is more than 2.6x fair value. While revenue growth is strong at 79.6% YoY, the collapse in earnings and lack of consistent beat rates undermine sustainability. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags regarding bankruptcy risk, especially with a debt/equity ratio of 1.00 and negative earnings momentum.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 79.6% YoY indicates robust top-line expansion
Healthy current ratio of 2.10 suggests short-term liquidity resilience
Positive Q/Q EPS growth of +150.0% in the most recent quarter shows potential recovery
Dividend payout ratio of 18.43% is conservative and sustainable
Insider sentiment at 60/100 reflects moderate confidence despite neutral trading activity
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and operational inefficiencies
Negative earnings growth of -85.3% YoY contradicts strong revenue growth, signaling profitability issues
Current price of $15.51 is over 2.6x the Graham Number ($5.77), indicating severe overvaluation
No Altman Z-Score available with a debt/equity ratio of 1.00 raises potential solvency concerns
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), and price remains near 52-week high, increasing downside risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.77
-62.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
42
Moderate
30
55
40
35
50
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: High revenue growth but collapsing earnings, Weak Piotroski F-Score, Overvaluation relative to Graham Number, Lack of Altman Z-Score, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
88%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 17.43 is below sector average of 73.87
- Price/Sales of 0.93 is below 1.0, suggesting modest valuation
Watchpoints
- Current price is 2.6x the Graham Number ($5.77)
- Intrinsic value estimate of $0.98 is far below current price
- PEG ratio unavailable, but earnings collapse invalidates growth premium
Future
55/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 79.6% YoY revenue growth indicates strong market demand
- Q/Q EPS growth of +150.0% suggests potential earnings recovery
- Recent positive earnings surprise of +50.5% in Q4 2025
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth is -85.3% YoY, indicating severe profitability contraction
- No forward guidance or PEG ratio to validate growth sustainability
- High volatility in earnings surprises (ranging from -18.2% to +50.5%)
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 52-week high of $33.00 shows strong historical momentum
- 3-year and 1-year returns of +39.3% reflect strong historical performance
Watchpoints
- Negative earnings growth in three consecutive quarters
- Profit margin of only 0.80% is extremely low for the sector
- ROE, ROA, and ROIC are missing, indicating poor transparency
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 2.10 indicates strong short-term liquidity
- Debt/equity of 1.00 is manageable relative to sector average of 5.20
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below threshold for financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available, raising bankruptcy risk concerns
- Negative earnings and low margins suggest deteriorating operational health
Dividend
50/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 0.67% is stable
- Payout ratio of 18.43% is conservative and sustainable
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak overall dividend quality
- No 5-year average yield available, limiting long-term assessment
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$15.51
Analyst Target
$15.75
Upside/Downside
+1.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AEBI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
Primary
|
+39.3% | +39.3% | +39.3% | +32.0% | +7.2% | -0.6% |
|
BV
BrightView Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-18.0% | +80.2% | -16.1% | -18.8% | +2.2% | 0.0% |
|
ASTE
Astec Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
-21.6% | +24.2% | +39.1% | +21.4% | +5.8% | -1.6% |
|
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
Peer
|
+2.7% | +328.8% | -17.7% | -44.8% | -8.4% | -5.8% |
|
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
|
+46.3% | +47.4% | +517.6% | +808.6% | +76.6% | +12.2% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
110.79
Forward P/E
17.43
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.47
P/S Ratio
0.93
EV/Revenue
1.46
EV/EBITDA
20.07
Market Cap
$1.2B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.8%
Operating Margin
3.91%
Gross Margin
20.19%
ROE
N/A
ROA
N/A
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+79.6%
Earnings Growth
-85.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-72.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.0
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.1
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.16
Good
Cash/Share
$1.63
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-26
$N/A
2025-11-13
$0.2
+50.5% surprise
2025-08-14
$0.08
-18.2% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AEBI against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(5 bullish, 62 neutral, 55 bearish)
P/E Ratio
110.79
This Stock
vs
74.1
Sector Avg
+49.5%
(Expensive)
Profit Margin
0.8%
This Stock
vs
58.43%
Sector Avg
-98.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.0
This Stock
vs
5.2
Sector Avg
-80.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
79.6%
This Stock
vs
24.48%
Sector Avg
+225.1%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
2.1
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-20.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
|
BEARISH | $1.2B | 110.79 | -% | 0.8% | $15.51 | |
|
BV
BrightView Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.25B | 101.61 | 3.1% | 2.1% | $13.21 | |
|
ASTE
Astec Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.1B | 23.79 | 7.4% | 3.5% | $48.29 | |
|
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
|
BULLISH | $1.34B | 9.27 | 35.8% | 46.7% | $28.17 | |
|
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.05B | - | -% | -15.1% | $9.45 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | SCHAUB PATRICK FRANCOIS | Director | Purchase | 7,500 | $95,657 |
| 2025-11-25 | FRUITHOF BAREND GERRIT | Officer and Director | Purchase | 5,000 | $60,026 |
| 2025-11-21 | SCHEWERDA STEFFEN | Officer | Purchase | 5,000 | $53,400 |
| 2025-11-17 | SCHENKIRSCH THOMAS | Officer | Purchase | 6,500 | $70,850 |
| 2025-11-14 | PORTMANN MARCO | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 5,000 | $56,000 |
| 2025-09-15 | FARMER JACOB OWEN | President | Purchase | 800 | $10,000 |
| 2025-08-26 | SCHENKIRSCH THOMAS | Officer | Purchase | 3,500 | $41,195 |
| 2025-08-21 | FRUITHOF BAREND GERRIT | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 6,000 | $69,902 |
| 2025-08-19 | SCHEWERDA STEFFEN | Officer | Purchase | 3,300 | $40,194 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Roth Capital
2025-11-26
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-08-19
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AEBI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.