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AEBI

BEARISH
$12.84 Live
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG · NASDAQ
Target $15.75 (+22.7%)
$8.91 52W Range $33.0

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
AEBI's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling distress in operational efficiency and profitability trends. The company trades at a high forward P/E of 14.43 despite negative earnings growth of -85.3% YoY, suggesting overvaluation relative to current profitability. While revenue growth is strong at 79.6% YoY, this is not translating into earnings, raising concerns about sustainability. The Graham Number of $5.77 implies significant downside risk, as the current price of $12.84 is nearly double this fair value. Technical indicators are bearish, and insider activity is neutral, offering no conviction in the stock's direction.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth of 79.6% YoY indicates potential market expansion or demand recovery
Positive Q/Q EPS growth of +150% suggests recent earnings momentum
Relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00 compared to sector average of 5.47
Current ratio of 2.10 and quick ratio of 1.16 indicate decent short-term liquidity
Dividend payout ratio of 18.43% is conservative and sustainable

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and operational instability
Negative earnings growth of -85.3% YoY despite strong revenue growth raises profitability concerns
Forward P/E of 14.43 is high relative to negative earnings, suggesting overvaluation
Current price of $12.84 is nearly 122% above the Graham Number of $5.77, indicating significant overvaluation
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), with recent 1-month decline of -16.5% and 1-week drop of -5.5%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.77
-55.1% below current price

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