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AEP American Electric Power Company, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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AEP Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Utilities Utilities - Regulated Electric
Current Price Live
$129.37
Analyst Target
$133.03
+2.8% Upside
52W High
$132.78
52W Low
$97.46

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Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
AEP's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling deterioration in operational efficiency and profitability trends despite stable margins and strong revenue growth. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern, as it leaves bankruptcy risk unquantified, though the company's regulated utility structure provides some insulation. While the Graham Number ($92.88) suggests undervaluation, the current price of $129.37 trades at a significant premium, reflecting high growth expectations. The dividend is sustainable with a 56% payout ratio, but recent insider selling and declining earnings growth undermine confidence. Analysts remain bullish, but technical momentum is weak.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth of 13.20% YoY, outpacing sector average
High gross margin (47.52%) and solid operating margin (22.84%) indicate pricing power and cost control
Regulated utility model provides stable cash flows and predictable earnings
Dividend yield of 2.94% is attractive within the utilities sector
Analyst consensus remains buy with a target price of $133.03, suggesting upside potential

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, with signs of declining profitability and cash flow quality
Negative earnings growth of -13.40% YoY and -12.30% Q/Q suggest deteriorating profitability
Insider selling activity (5 transactions, $2.43M) over the last 6 months signals bearish sentiment from insiders
Extremely low current ratio (0.46) and quick ratio (0.25) indicate severe liquidity strain
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.54 is high for a utility, especially given weak cash flow metrics and no disclosed cash/debt figures
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.0
-11.1% below current price

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