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AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AEVA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Infrastructure
Current Price Live
$12.54
Analyst Target
$24.11
+92.3% Upside
52W High
$38.8
52W Low
$2.52

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AEVA's deterministic health scores signal severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme weakness in operational and financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth of 59.1% YoY, the company reports negative margins, massive losses (ROE: -192.35%), and negative operating cash flow, undermining sustainability. Insider selling totaling $22.43M in six months, including large sales by top executives, reinforces bearish sentiment. The stock trades at a premium valuation (Price/Sales: 49.72, Price/Book: 22.64) with no earnings or dividend support, making it vulnerable to downward correction.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth of 59.1% YoY, outpacing sector average
High analyst target price of $24.11 suggests optimistic growth expectations
Positive earnings surprises in 2 out of last 4 quarters, with average surprise of 3.69%
Favorable current ratio (3.18) and quick ratio (2.76) indicate short-term liquidity
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.18 suggests conservative leverage

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress and operational failure
Negative operating margin (-926.54%) and gross margin (-18.54%) signal fundamental profitability issues
Insider selling of $22.43M in 6 months, including large sales by CEO, CFO, and CTO, signals lack of confidence
No positive cash flow metrics (FCF, OCF) despite high revenue growth, indicating cash burn
Stock trades at extreme valuation multiples (P/S: 49.72, P/B: 22.64) with no earnings or dividend support

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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