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AEVA

BEARISH
$15.16 Live
Aeva Technologies, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $24.1 (+59.0%)
$2.64 52W Range $38.8

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
85%
AEVA's deterministic health scores signal severe financial distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme weakness in operational and financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score (with a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.75) raises significant bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth of 108.5% YoY, the company operates at a massive loss, with negative margins across all key metrics and a negative ROE of -258.39%. Insider selling totaling $22.37M over six months, including large sales by top executives, reinforces bearish sentiment. Although analysts rate it 'strong_buy' with a target of $24.10, the current price of $15.16 reflects a 5-year decline of 81.2%, suggesting deep skepticism from the market.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth of 108.5% YoY, outpacing sector averages
Recent earnings surprises have been positive in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with an average of +4.76%
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' rating and a $24.10 target price
High market momentum in the past year (+485.3% 1Y return) indicating speculative interest
Current ratio of 4.28 and quick ratio of 3.49 suggest strong short-term liquidity despite high leverage

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress and poor operational efficiency
Debt/Equity ratio of 7.75 is extremely high, signaling unsustainable leverage
Negative ROE (-258.39%), ROA (-48.75%), and gross margin (-3.65%) reflect deep operational losses
Insider selling of $22.37M in the last 6 months, including large sales by CFO, CEO, and CTO, indicating lack of confidence
No positive valuation metrics: Price/Book of 69.22 and Price/Sales of 50.38 suggest extreme overvaluation relative to fundamentals

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