AEVA Aeva Technologies, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AEVA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Technology
Software - Infrastructure
Current Price
Live
$13.58
Analyst Target
$24.11
+77.5%
Upside
52W High
$38.8
52W Low
$2.52
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$815.89M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-192.3%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.18
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
AEVA's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme operational weakness, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth of 59.1% YoY, the company operates at a massive loss with negative margins, ROE, and ROA, signaling unsustainable profitability. Insider selling totaling $22.43M in six months, including large sales by top executives, underscores deteriorating confidence. The stock trades at a premium valuation (Price/Sales: 53.84, Price/Book: 24.51) with no earnings or cash flow support, and analyst coverage lacks consensus. These factors collectively point to a high-risk, overvalued speculative position.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 59.1% YoY, outpacing sector average
Positive earnings surprises in 2 out of last 4 quarters (average +3.69%)
High current and quick ratios (3.18 and 2.76) indicate strong short-term liquidity
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 suggests conservative capital structure
Recent quarterly EPS growth of +16.4% YoY, indicating improving loss trajectory
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress and operational failure
Negative operating margin (-926.54%) and gross margin (-18.54%) indicate fundamental profitability collapse
Insider selling of $22.43M in 6 months, including large sales by CEO, CFO, and CTO, signals bearish sentiment
No earnings, cash flow, or intrinsic value metrics available; valuation based on speculative growth
Stock trades at extreme premium (Price/Sales: 53.84, Price/Book: 24.51) with no underlying fundamentals
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
18
Weak
15
45
20
10
0
AI Verdict
High Risk
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, Negative profitability metrics, Massive insider selling, Extreme valuation multiples, No earnings or cash flow support
Confidence
87%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Revenue growth exceeds sector average
- Low debt-to-equity ratio
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
- Price/Sales (53.84) and Price/Book (24.51) are extremely high
- Forward P/E of -7.55 indicates no earnings
- No free cash flow or operating cash flow data
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 59.1% YoY revenue growth
- Recent EPS growth of +16.4% YoY
- Positive earnings surprises in 2 of last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
- No forward earnings or cash flow guidance
- Negative operating margin (-926.54%)
- No indication of path to profitability
Past
20/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Improved EPS performance in 2024-2025 compared to 2021-2022
- Several quarters with positive earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Persistent negative margins and ROE
- 2021-06-02 EPS surprise of -71.4% indicates volatility
- 2022-02-23 EPS miss of -30.4%
Health
10/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- High current and quick ratios (3.18, 2.76)
- Low debt-to-equity (0.18)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 (extremely weak)
- No Altman Z-Score available (risk of distress)
- Negative ROE (-192.35%) and ROA (-63.35%)
- Negative operating margin (-926.54%)
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- Dividend strength: 0/100
- No history of dividend payments
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$13.58
Analyst Target
$24.11
Upside/Downside
+77.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AEVA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AEVA
Aeva Technologies, Inc.
Primary
|
-84.1% | +61.7% | +224.1% | +3.7% | -34.4% | +9.5% |
|
ALIT
Alight, Inc.
Peer
|
-87.9% | -83.0% | -77.8% | -73.4% | -24.4% | -5.1% |
|
ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-33.7% | -39.8% | -14.4% | +14.6% | +15.6% | +2.7% |
|
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems, Inc.
Peer
|
+784.7% | -14.2% | +174.7% | +57.5% | +11.1% | +9.3% |
|
BLND
Blend Labs, Inc.
Peer
|
-86.6% | +90.5% | -24.7% | -22.6% | -7.0% | -5.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-7.55
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
24.51
P/S Ratio
53.84
EV/Revenue
51.02
EV/EBITDA
-6.08
Market Cap
$815.89M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
N/A
Operating Margin
-926.54%
Gross Margin
-18.54%
ROE
-192.35%
ROA
-63.35%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+59.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.18
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.18
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.76
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.81
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-05
$-0.46
-2.2% surprise
2025-07-31
$-0.44
+6.4% surprise
2025-05-14
$-0.45
+6.9% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing AEVA against 149 companies in the Technology sector
(11 bullish, 68 neutral, 70 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-192.35%
This Stock
vs
-6.46%
Sector Avg
+2877.4%
(Excellent)
Debt to Equity
0.18
This Stock
vs
0.7
Sector Avg
-73.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
59.1%
This Stock
vs
61.63%
Sector Avg
-4.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.18
This Stock
vs
3.39
Sector Avg
-6.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AEVA
Aeva Technologies, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $815.89M | - | -192.3% | -% | $13.58 | |
|
ALIT
Alight, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $818.74M | - | -66.9% | -94.2% | $1.49 | |
|
ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $811.58M | - | -11.8% | -7.6% | $10.13 | |
|
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $883.29M | - | -7.0% | -16.6% | $28.84 | |
|
BLND
Blend Labs, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $727.29M | - | -0.5% | -2.5% | $2.8 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | SINHA SAURABH | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 60,000 | $1,238,578 |
| 2026-01-09 | DARDASHTI SOROUSH SALEHIAN | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 164,000 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | DARDASHTI SOROUSH SALEHIAN | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 64,787 | $1,221,390 |
| 2026-01-09 | REZK MINA | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 64,787 | $1,221,390 |
| 2026-01-09 | SINHA SAURABH | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 20,609 | $388,529 |
| 2026-01-02 | DARDASHTI SOROUSH SALEHIAN | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 488,160 | $6,324,796 |
| 2026-01-02 | REZK MINA | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 321,723 | $4,168,372 |
| 2026-01-02 | SINHA SAURABH | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 12,147 | $157,381 |
| 2025-12-31 | DARDASHTI SOROUSH SALEHIAN | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 225,904 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | REZK MINA | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 150,602 | - |
| 2025-11-19 | SINHA SAURABH | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 48,086 | $479,187 |
| 2025-11-10 | DARDASHTI SOROUSH SALEHIAN | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 250,000 | $3,362,282 |
| 2025-11-10 | REZK MINA | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 250,000 | $3,362,388 |
| 2025-09-16 | REZK MINA | Chief Technology Officer | Gift | 30,000 | - |
| 2025-09-03 | SINHA SAURABH | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 36,658 | $505,961 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
5 analysts
Canaccord Genuity
2025-12-04
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AEVA from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.