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AGEN Agenus Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AGEN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Biotechnology
Current Price Live
$3.24
Analyst Target
$12.33
+280.7% Upside
52W High
$7.34
52W Low
$1.38

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$117.1M
P/E
N/A
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
-32.9%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals critical weaknesses: a Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 indicates severe financial distress, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score due to negative book value raises serious solvency concerns. Despite a 20.4% YoY revenue growth and a bullish analyst target price of $12.33, the company is deeply unprofitable with negative margins across all metrics, deteriorating cash position, and alarming liquidity ratios (Current Ratio: 0.47, Quick Ratio: 0.03). Persistent earnings misses, a -95.8% 5-year price decline, and lack of insider buying further undermine confidence. The stock appears highly speculative with substantial fundamental risks outweighing growth potential.

Key Strengths

20.4% Year-over-Year Revenue Growth indicates commercial or partnership traction
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a high target price of $12.33
Forward P/E of 1.66 suggests extremely low valuation relative to future earnings expectations
Price/Sales of 1.10 is moderate for a biotech firm with growth potential
Recent quarters show narrowing losses compared to prior deep negative EPS

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 signals extreme financial weakness and high risk of operational failure
Negative Price/Book (-0.39) and lack of Altman Z-Score indicate potential insolvency and balance sheet distress
Critically low liquidity: Current Ratio of 0.47 and Quick Ratio of 0.03 suggest imminent cash flow crisis
Consistently negative profitability: ROA of -16.66%, Gross Margin of 0.08%, and -32.92% Profit Margin
Earnings volatility with 3 of last 4 quarters missing estimates by over -50%, including -152.9% and -173.9% surprises

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
25
Weak
Value
45
Future
52
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with unsustainable financial health
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 0, Negative book value and undefined Altman Z-Score, Extremely weak liquidity metrics, Persistent earnings misses and negative cash flow, Analyst optimism not yet supported by fundamentals
Confidence
88%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E of 1.66 implies high future earnings expectations
  • Price/Sales of 1.10 is below sector average of 62.63% growth peers
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book is negative (-0.39), invalidating traditional value metrics
  • No Graham Number due to unprofitability
  • P/E and PEG ratios are undefined, limiting value assessment
Future
52/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 20.4% YoY Revenue Growth shows potential commercial momentum
  • Forward P/E implies strong earnings improvement expected
  • Analyst target price implies 279% upside, signaling high growth expectations
Watchpoints
  • No Q/Q earnings growth data available
  • Earnings Growth YoY is undefined, indicating no profitability baseline
  • Historical earnings progression shows erratic and negative trends
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Some quarters show improved EPS versus prior deep losses (e.g., 2025-05-12 vs 2023-08-08)
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price return of -95.8% reflects severe investor erosion
  • 3-year return of -93.6% and 6-month return of -45.6% show persistent underperformance
  • 21 of last 25 quarters had negative EPS
  • Average earnings surprise over last 4 quarters is -92.94%
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 indicates critical financial weakness
  • Current Ratio of 0.47 and Quick Ratio of 0.03 signal near-term liquidity crisis
  • Negative book value and undefined ROE/ROIC point to balance sheet insolvency
  • No Altman Z-Score due to financial distress
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength of 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history
  • Payout Ratio is 0.00% due to lack of earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$3.24
Analyst Target
$12.33
Upside/Downside
+280.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGEN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AGEN
Agenus Inc.
Primary
-95.8% -93.6% -13.8% -45.6% -3.3% -3.0%
ANL
Adlai Nortye Ltd.
Peer
-82.5% -82.5% +28.3% +82.6% +71.9% +46.1%
BDSX
Biodesix, Inc.
Peer
-97.8% -75.2% -34.9% +31.6% +72.1% +49.0%
ANIK
Anika Therapeutics, Inc.
Peer
-72.8% -67.0% -41.2% +29.0% +6.3% +13.3%
ADAG
Adagene Inc.
Peer
-87.3% +73.8% +79.6% +92.3% +80.6% +23.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
1.66
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-0.39
P/S Ratio
1.1
EV/Revenue
1.37
EV/EBITDA
-2.91
Market Cap
$117.1M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -32.92%
Operating Margin -16.08%
Gross Margin 0.08%
ROE N/A
ROA -16.66%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +20.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.47
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.03
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.1

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-10
$N/A
2025-11-10
$-1.16
-152.9% surprise
2025-08-11
$-1.0
-173.9% surprise
2025-05-12
$-1.03
+48.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing AGEN against 146 companies in the Healthcare sector (10 bullish, 60 neutral, 76 bearish)
Profit Margin
-32.92%
This Stock
vs
-20.8%
Sector Avg
+58.3% (Superior)
Revenue Growth
20.4%
This Stock
vs
61.93%
Sector Avg
-67.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.47
This Stock
vs
3.47
Sector Avg
-86.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AGEN
Agenus Inc.
BEARISH $117.1M - -% -32.9% $3.24
ANL
Adlai Nortye Ltd.
BEARISH $97.05M - -139.0% -% $2.63
BDSX
Biodesix, Inc.
BEARISH $93.92M - -302.6% -49.3% $11.74
ANIK
Anika Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH $150.85M - -8.7% -29.3% $10.46
ADAG
Adagene Inc.
BULLISH $153.18M - -63.3% -% $3.25

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-09 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,780 $14,780
2026-01-02 HARRISON THOMAS L Director Stock Award 7,691 $24,842
2025-12-26 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 4,942 $16,358
2025-12-12 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 4,316 $16,358
2025-11-28 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,587 $16,357
2025-11-14 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,769 $16,357
2025-10-31 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 4,120 $16,356
2025-10-17 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 4,216 $16,358
2025-10-03 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,951 $16,357
2025-10-01 HARRISON THOMAS L Director Stock Award 5,780 $22,542
2025-09-19 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,734 $16,355
2025-09-05 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,778 $16,359
2025-08-22 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,619 $16,358
2025-08-08 ARMEN GARO H. Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3,407 $16,354
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-09-10
reit
Buy Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-08-28
reit
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGEN from our newsroom.

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