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AGNCL

BEARISH
$25.17 Live
AGNC Investment Corp. · NASDAQ
$22.84 52W Range $26.59
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Ownership

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
N/A
P/E
N/A
ROE
15.1%
Profit margin
92.9%
Debt/Equity
6.89
Dividend yield
7.7%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
AGNCL exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, signaling deteriorating financial health and operational inefficiencies, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk. Despite impressive revenue and earnings growth (546% and 772% YoY), these gains are likely driven by one-time or non-recurring factors given the near-100% gross margin and extreme debt-to-equity ratio of 6.89. The stock trades at a rich Price/Book of 2.67, with no Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate, suggesting overvaluation relative to traditional metrics. Dividend yield of 7.7% is attractive but unsupported by sustainable earnings, and technical trends are bearish, reinforcing caution.

Key Strengths

Exceptional year-over-year revenue and earnings growth (546% and 772%)
High gross margin of 100.00% indicates strong pricing power or low cost structure
Attractive dividend yield of 7.70% appeals to income investors
Strong historical price performance with 5Y and 3Y returns above 40%
High operating margin of 95.88% reflects operational efficiency in core activities

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates poor financial health and high risk of distress
Debt/Equity ratio of 6.89 is extremely high, signaling excessive leverage
Current and quick ratios of 0.18 and 0.17 suggest severe liquidity constraints
No Altman Z-Score available, but low liquidity and high leverage imply distress risk
Growth metrics may be unsustainable or non-recurring, given extreme margins and lack of cash flow data

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
47
Moderate
Value
30
Future
65
Past
70
Health
20
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Extreme leverage and liquidity risk, Unsustainable growth metrics, Absence of valuation anchors, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 7.7%
  • Strong historical price appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 2.67 is elevated
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate
  • Growth not supported by cash flow or sustainable margins
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 546% YoY revenue growth
  • 772% YoY earnings growth
  • 682% Q/Q earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Growth likely non-recurring or inflated
  • No operating cash flow or FCF data
  • High leverage limits future flexibility
Past
70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +41.0%
  • 3-year return of +47.8%
  • Consistent outperformance over peers
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-week price decline of -0.1%
  • 6-month return of +4.1% shows slowing momentum
Health
20/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • High operating margin (95.88%)
  • High gross margin (100.00%)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 (weak)
  • Debt/Equity of 6.89 (dangerously high)
  • Current ratio of 0.18 (severe liquidity risk)
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but indicators suggest distress
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 7.70% is attractive
  • Consistent dividend payments (implied)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio not available, raising sustainability concerns
  • High leverage and low ROE (15.08%) limit earnings support
  • No evidence of cash flow backing the dividend

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$25.17

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGNCL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
AGN
AGNC Investment Corp.
Primary
5Y
+41.0%
3Y
+47.8%
1Y
+8.2%
6M
+4.1%
1M
+1.2%
1W
-0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.67
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
54.53
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
N/A

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 92.93%
Operating Margin 95.88%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 15.08%
ROA 1.65%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +546.1%
Earnings Growth +772.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +682.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
6.89
High debt
Current Ratio
0.18
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.17
Poor
Cash/Share
$15.54

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing AGNCL against 78 companies in the Real Estate sector (2 bullish, 13 neutral, 63 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.08%
This Stock
vs
-57.48%
Sector Avg
-126.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
92.93%
This Stock
vs
16.87%
Sector Avg
+451.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
6.89
This Stock
vs
2.73
Sector Avg
+152.5% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
546.1%
This Stock
vs
34737.49%
Sector Avg
-98.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.18
This Stock
vs
6.84
Sector Avg
-97.3% (Weaker)

Ownership Structure

Institutional and insider holdings breakdown

Ownership Breakdown

Top Institutional Holders

Connectus Wealth, LLC
30,625 shares • 2022-09-30

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGNCL from our newsroom.

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