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AGNCO AGNC Investment Corp. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AGNCO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Real Estate REIT - Mortgage
Current Price Live
$25.46
52W High
$25.95
52W Low
$23.68
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 07, 2026
Market cap
N/A
P/E
N/A
ROE
15.1%
Profit margin
92.9%
Debt/Equity
6.89
Dividend yield
9.41%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AGNC Investment Corp. exhibits severe financial distress signals, with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicating poor operational and financial health. The absence of an Altman Z-Score and a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.89, coupled with a current ratio of 0.18, suggest extreme leverage and liquidity risk. Despite high profit margins and earnings growth, these are likely driven by non-recurring or accounting distortions rather than sustainable operations. The stock trades at a premium Price/Book of 2.71, with no Graham Number or intrinsic value support, reflecting speculative pricing. The 9.41% dividend yield is unsustainable given the weak financial foundation and lack of earnings visibility.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high profit margins (Gross: 100%, Operating: 95.88%, Net: 92.93%)
Significant year-over-year earnings growth (775.90%) and revenue growth (546.10%)
Strong historical price performance (5Y: +51%, 3Y: +46%)
High dividend yield (9.41%) attractive to income investors
Trading near 52-week high ($25.95), indicating recent market interest

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial instability and poor operational quality
Debt/Equity ratio of 6.89 is extremely high, signaling over-leverage
Current and quick ratios of 0.18 and 0.17, respectively, indicate acute liquidity risk
No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate, suggesting no fundamental valuation anchor
Dividend payout ratio is likely unsustainable given weak ROE (15.08%) and negative ROA (1.64%)

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
20
Future
60
Past
70
Health
15
Dividend
25
AI Verdict
High risk, low confidence in sustainability
Key drivers: Extremely weak Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Unsustainable leverage and liquidity ratios, Lack of fundamental valuation metrics, High growth rates likely non-recurring, Speculative dividend yield
Confidence
80%
Value
20/100

No reliable valuation metrics available; stock trades at a premium without fundamental support

Positives
  • High P/B of 2.71 may reflect market optimism
  • Strong historical price appreciation
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value formula applicable
  • P/E and PEG ratios unavailable
  • Price/Book is elevated relative to peers and fundamentals
Future
60/100

Growth is impressive but likely not repeatable; financial health undermines long-term viability

Positives
  • Exceptional YoY earnings and revenue growth (775.90% and 546.10%)
  • High growth expectations may justify premium valuation
Watchpoints
  • Growth rates are likely unsustainable and possibly one-time
  • No Q/Q growth data available to confirm trend continuity
  • High leverage may constrain future expansion
Past
70/100

Historical performance is strong, but recent price action shows signs of fatigue

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +51%
  • Consistent price appreciation over 3 years (+46%)
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-week price decline (-0.1%) suggests weakening momentum
  • No clear trend in 50-day or 200-day averages
Health
15/100

Financial health is critically weak; Piotroski score confirms systemic issues

Positives
  • High profit margins suggest operational efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress
  • Debt/Equity of 6.89 is dangerously high
  • Current ratio of 0.18 implies inability to meet short-term obligations
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but ratios suggest distress risk
Dividend
25/100

Dividend appears speculative; high yield is not supported by sustainable earnings

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 9.41% is attractive to income seekers
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio is not calculable but likely unsustainable
  • Low ROE (15.08%) and negative ROA (1.64%) suggest earnings cannot support dividends
  • High leverage increases risk of dividend cuts

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$25.46

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGNCO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-06
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AGNCO
AGNC Investment Corp.
Primary
 +51.0% +46.0% +10.2% +4.7% +1.2% -0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.71
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
54.69
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
N/A

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 92.93%
Operating Margin 95.88%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 15.08%
ROA 1.65%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +546.1%
Earnings Growth +775.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +682.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
6.89
High debt
Current Ratio
0.18
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.17
Poor
Cash/Share
$15.56

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing AGNCO against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector (1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.08%
This Stock
vs
-75.75%
Sector Avg
-119.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
92.93%
This Stock
vs
24.96%
Sector Avg
+272.4% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
6.89
This Stock
vs
3.28
Sector Avg
+110.2% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
546.1%
This Stock
vs
108.53%
Sector Avg
+403.2% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.18
This Stock
vs
8.3
Sector Avg
-97.8% (Weaker)

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGNCO from our newsroom.

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