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AGNCP AGNC Investment Corp. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AGNCP Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Real Estate REIT - Mortgage
Current Price Live
$25.07
52W High
$25.57
52W Low
$23.37

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 07, 2026
Market cap
N/A
P/E
N/A
ROE
15.1%
Profit margin
92.9%
Debt/Equity
6.89
Dividend yield
8.47%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AGNCP exhibits severe financial health concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicating extreme weakness and no Altman Z-Score available, raising distress risk. Despite high profitability margins and explosive revenue/earnings growth, the company's Debt/Equity ratio of 6.89, current ratio of 0.18, and lack of cash reserves signal unsustainable leverage. The stock trades at a premium Price/Book of 2.66, with no Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate, suggesting overvaluation. Dividend yield is attractive at 8.47%, but the payout ratio is undefined, and technical trends are bearish, reinforcing caution.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profit margins (Gross: 100%, Operating: 95.88%, Net: 92.93%)
Explosive earnings growth (775.90% YoY) and revenue growth (546.10% YoY)
High dividend yield of 8.47% offers income appeal
Strong historical price performance (5Y: +48.8%, 3Y: +47.2%)
Outperforms sector peers in revenue growth and ROE (15.08%)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and operational instability
Debt/Equity ratio of 6.89 is dangerously high, especially for a REIT
Current and quick ratios of 0.18 and 0.17 suggest extreme liquidity risk
No available Graham Number or intrinsic value, indicating no defensive valuation floor
Technical trend is bearish (10/100), with recent price decline and weak momentum

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
50
Moderate
Value
40
Future
75
Past
65
Health
20
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
High risk, low confidence
Key drivers: Extremely weak Piotroski F-Score, No Altman Z-Score (distress risk unassessed), High leverage and liquidity risk, Premium valuation without intrinsic support, Attractive yield but unsustainable payout risk
Confidence
80%
Value
40/100

Stock trades at a premium to book value with no defensive valuation floor; growth expectations may be overpriced.

Positives
  • High dividend yield (8.47%)
  • Strong historical price appreciation (5Y: +48.8%)
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 2.66 is elevated
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate
  • No PEG or forward P/E to assess growth-adjusted valuation
Future
75/100

Growth rates are extraordinary but likely unsustainable; future performance hinges on capital structure stability.

Positives
  • 775.90% YoY earnings growth
  • 546.10% YoY revenue growth
  • 682.00% Q/Q earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Sustained hyper-growth is unlikely to continue
  • No clear path to profitability sustainability
  • High leverage may constrain future expansion
Past
65/100

Strong historical performance, but recent technical weakness and lack of trend data reduce confidence.

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +48.8%
  • 3-year return of +47.2%
  • Consistent outperformance in 1Y and 6M periods
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-week price decline (-0.2%)
  • 52-week high reached recently, suggesting potential overbought condition
  • No long-term trend data (50/200-day averages missing)
Health
20/100

Financial health is critically weak; high leverage and liquidity issues override strong margins.

Positives
  • High ROE (15.08%)
  • Strong operating margin (95.88%)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (severe red flag)
  • Debt/Equity of 6.89 (extremely high)
  • Current ratio of 0.18 (liquidity crisis)
  • No Altman Z-Score (distress risk unquantified)
  • No cash reserves or operating cash flow data
Dividend
50/100

Dividend appears generous but lacks financial backing; risk of cut is elevated.

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 8.47%
  • Attractive for income investors
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio is undefined
  • No historical payout ratio data
  • High leverage and weak cash flow suggest dividend may be at risk
  • No evidence of sustainable funding

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$25.07

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGNCP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-06
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AGNCP
AGNC Investment Corp.
Primary
+48.8% +47.2% +9.9% +3.8% +1.2% -0.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.66
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
54.45
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
N/A

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 92.93%
Operating Margin 95.88%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 15.08%
ROA 1.65%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +546.1%
Earnings Growth +775.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +682.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
6.89
High debt
Current Ratio
0.18
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.17
Poor
Cash/Share
$15.56

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing AGNCP against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector (1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.08%
This Stock
vs
-75.75%
Sector Avg
-119.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
92.93%
This Stock
vs
24.96%
Sector Avg
+272.4% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
6.89
This Stock
vs
3.28
Sector Avg
+110.2% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
546.1%
This Stock
vs
108.53%
Sector Avg
+403.2% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.18
This Stock
vs
8.3
Sector Avg
-97.8% (Weaker)

Ownership Structure

Institutional and insider holdings breakdown

Ownership Breakdown

Top Institutional Holders

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
15 shares • 2022-12-31

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGNCP from our newsroom.

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