AGYS Agilysys, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AGYS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Technology
Software - Application
Current Price
Live
$86.01
Analyst Target
$142.0
+65.1%
Upside
52W High
$145.25
52W Low
$63.71
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 07, 2026
Market cap
$2.42B
P/E
78.91
ROE
10.7%
Profit margin
9.8%
Debt/Equity
0.06
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AGYS exhibits strong deterministic health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational efficiency and financial stability, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk. The stock trades at a premium valuation with a forward P/E of 39.56 and a current price of $86.01, significantly above both the Graham Number ($16.55) and Intrinsic Value ($32.16), suggesting overvaluation relative to conservative metrics. Despite robust revenue and earnings growth (15.6% and 152.8% YoY), recent insider selling totaling $1.94M over six months signals potential caution from management. Analysts maintain a strong_buy consensus with a $142 target, but the 6-month price decline of 17.1% and weak recent earnings surprises undermine momentum.
Key Strengths
Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health and operational efficiency
High gross margin (61.67%) and improving operating margin (10.78%) reflect pricing power and cost discipline
Low debt/equity ratio (0.06) and healthy current/quick ratios (1.31, 1.17) signal strong balance sheet strength
Consistent revenue growth (15.6% YoY) and strong Q/Q earnings growth (158.4%) demonstrate momentum
Positive ROE (10.68%) and ROA (4.01%) indicate effective use of equity and assets
Key Risks
Current price ($86.01) is over 2.6x the Graham Number ($16.55) and 2.7x the Intrinsic Value ($32.16), indicating significant overvaluation
Insider selling activity (9 transactions, $1.94M) over the last 6 months is bearish and contradicts bullish market sentiment
Recent earnings surprises are negative (average -4.08% over last 4 quarters), undermining credibility
Forward P/E of 39.56 is high relative to peers and sector average (82.54), but growth may not justify premium
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), with 6-month and 1-month price declines of -17.1% and -27.7% respectively
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$32.16
-62.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
51
Moderate
35
75
60
85
0
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: Strong Piotroski F-Score and low leverage support financial health, High valuation and insider selling undermine upside potential, Recent earnings misses and technical weakness reduce momentum
Confidence
85%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Intrinsic value of $32.16 suggests undervaluation based on growth assumptions
- Graham Number of $16.55 provides a conservative floor
Watchpoints
- Current price ($86.01) is 2.7x intrinsic value and 5.2x Graham Number
- Forward P/E of 39.56 is elevated despite strong growth
Future
75/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 15.6% YoY revenue growth and 152.8% earnings growth indicate strong momentum
- Q/Q earnings growth of 158.4% shows accelerating profitability
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 39.56 implies high growth expectations that may be hard to sustain
- Recent earnings surprises are negative on average (-4.08%)
Past
60/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent earnings beat history (20 of 25 quarters) shows resilience
- Multiple quarters with EPS surprises >+10% demonstrate upside potential
Watchpoints
- Recent 4-quarter average surprise is -4.08%, indicating recent underperformance
- 2026 Q1 EPS missed by 7.8%, signaling potential deceleration
Health
85/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health and operational efficiency
- Extremely low debt/equity (0.06) and solid liquidity ratios
Watchpoints
- No Altman Z-Score available; absence raises concern about bankruptcy risk assessment
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid; payout ratio is 0.00%
- Dividend yield is N/A
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$86.01
Analyst Target
$142.0
Upside/Downside
+65.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGYS and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-06
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AGYS
Agilysys, Inc.
Primary
|
+79.9% | +2.5% | -0.4% | -17.1% | -27.7% | -0.8% |
|
ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-52.4% | -14.3% | -23.9% | -11.4% | -7.6% | -1.1% |
|
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+105.4% | -33.7% | +24.3% | -1.4% | -14.2% | -15.2% |
|
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
Peer
|
+1127.9% | +434.7% | +143.5% | +64.1% | +11.6% | -1.8% |
|
BELFA
Bel Fuse Inc.
Peer
|
+1092.7% | +390.8% | +106.6% | +64.9% | +15.3% | -1.0% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
78.91
Forward P/E
39.56
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
7.7
P/S Ratio
7.78
EV/Revenue
7.57
EV/EBITDA
63.62
Market Cap
$2.42B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
9.79%
Operating Margin
10.78%
Gross Margin
61.67%
ROE
10.68%
ROA
4.01%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+15.6%
Earnings Growth
+152.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+158.4%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.06
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.31
Good
Quick Ratio
1.17
Good
Cash/Share
$2.91
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-18
$N/A
2026-01-26
$0.42
-7.8% surprise
2025-10-27
$0.4
+4.3% surprise
2025-07-21
$0.33
-8.8% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing AGYS against 149 companies in the Technology sector
(11 bullish, 67 neutral, 71 bearish)
P/E Ratio
78.91
This Stock
vs
80.58
Sector Avg
-2.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.68%
This Stock
vs
-6.46%
Sector Avg
-265.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
9.79%
This Stock
vs
-9.26%
Sector Avg
-205.8%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.06
This Stock
vs
0.7
Sector Avg
-90.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
15.6%
This Stock
vs
61.74%
Sector Avg
-74.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.31
This Stock
vs
3.39
Sector Avg
-61.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AGYS
Agilysys, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.42B | 78.91 | 10.7% | 9.8% | $86.01 | |
|
ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.41B | 20.43 | 15.8% | 12.9% | $48.22 | |
|
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.48B | 18.91 | 11.7% | 14.3% | $80.16 | |
|
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.49B | 40.52 | 16.9% | 10.0% | $196.5 | |
|
BELFA
Bel Fuse Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.53B | 37.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | $180.98 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | KEATING MELVIN L | Director | Purchase | 600 | $50,379 |
| 2025-12-04 | JONES DANA SUE | Director | Gift | 2,810 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | COLVIN DONALD A | Director | Sale | 6,000 | $739,680 |
| 2025-11-12 | ROBERTSON CHRIS J | Officer | Sale | 500 | $65,670 |
| 2025-11-04 | WOOD WILLIAM DAVID III | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 584 | $73,117 |
| 2025-11-03 | WOOD WILLIAM DAVID III | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 990 | $123,394 |
| 2025-11-03 | ABDELRAHMAN JOE AHMED YOUSSEF | Officer | Sale | 607 | $66,705 |
| 2025-11-03 | SHIVASHANKAR SETHURAM | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 497 | $61,946 |
| 2025-11-03 | BADGER KYLE C | General Counsel | Sale | 502 | $62,569 |
| 2025-11-03 | ROBERTSON CHRIS J | Officer | Sale | 400 | $49,856 |
| 2025-10-31 | BADGER KYLE C | General Counsel | Option Exercise | 622 | $78,036 |
| 2025-10-31 | ROBERTSON CHRIS J | Officer | Option Exercise | 450 | $56,457 |
| 2025-10-31 | WOOD WILLIAM DAVID III | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 1,338 | $167,865 |
| 2025-10-31 | ABDELRAHMAN JOE AHMED YOUSSEF | Officer | Option Exercise | 419 | $52,568 |
| 2025-10-31 | SHIVASHANKAR SETHURAM | Chief Technology Officer | Option Exercise | 723 | $90,708 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
5 analysts
Needham
2026-01-27
Buy
Buy
Needham
2025-12-15
Buy
Buy
Oppenheimer
2025-12-04
Outperform
Outperform
Needham
2025-10-28
Buy
Buy
Oppenheimer
2025-09-09
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AGYS from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.