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AIRO AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AIRO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Industrials Aerospace & Defense
Current Price Live
$9.64
Analyst Target
$19.67
+104.0% Upside
52W High
$39.07
52W Low
$7.28

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Confidence Score
92%
Analysis Accuracy
AIRO's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable but fragile financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, especially given negative profitability and severe revenue contraction. The company trades at a Price/Book of 0.41, suggesting deep undervaluation on a book basis, but this is overshadowed by a -190.65% operating margin, -73.5% YoY revenue decline, and a -18.72 forward P/E, signaling fundamental deterioration. Insider selling totaling $19.7M over six months, including large sales by the CEO and a major beneficial owner, reinforces bearish sentiment. Analysts have not issued a consensus recommendation, and the stock has declined 59.8% over the past year, reflecting persistent market skepticism.

Key Strengths

Low Price/Book ratio (0.41) suggests potential undervaluation on a balance sheet basis
Strong liquidity with a current ratio of 3.32 and quick ratio of 2.65
Minimal debt burden with a debt/equity ratio of 0.02
High gross margin of 63.78% indicates strong pricing power or cost control in core operations
Recent positive earnings surprise in Q2 2025 (322.2%) shows potential for operational turnaround

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates weak financial health with multiple red flags in profitability and cash flow
Negative operating margin (-190.65%) and negative ROE (-0.74%) signal deep operational inefficiency
73.5% YoY revenue decline and -230% Q/Q EPS growth reflect severe business contraction
Insider selling of $19.7M in six months, including large sales by CEO and major shareholder, signals loss of confidence
No analyst consensus or target price data, and 52-week high of $39.07 is far above current price, indicating lack of institutional conviction

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