AIRO AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AIRO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Industrials
Aerospace & Defense
Current Price
Live
$9.64
Analyst Target
$19.67
+104.0%
Upside
52W High
$39.07
52W Low
$7.28
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 07, 2026
Market cap
$301.77M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-0.7%
Profit margin
-5.9%
Debt/Equity
0.02
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
92%
Analysis Accuracy
AIRO's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable but fragile financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, especially given negative profitability and severe revenue contraction. The company trades at a Price/Book of 0.41, suggesting deep undervaluation on a book basis, but this is overshadowed by a -190.65% operating margin, -73.5% YoY revenue decline, and a -18.72 forward P/E, signaling fundamental deterioration. Insider selling totaling $19.7M over six months, including large sales by the CEO and a major beneficial owner, reinforces bearish sentiment. Analysts have not issued a consensus recommendation, and the stock has declined 59.8% over the past year, reflecting persistent market skepticism.
Key Strengths
Low Price/Book ratio (0.41) suggests potential undervaluation on a balance sheet basis
Strong liquidity with a current ratio of 3.32 and quick ratio of 2.65
Minimal debt burden with a debt/equity ratio of 0.02
High gross margin of 63.78% indicates strong pricing power or cost control in core operations
Recent positive earnings surprise in Q2 2025 (322.2%) shows potential for operational turnaround
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates weak financial health with multiple red flags in profitability and cash flow
Negative operating margin (-190.65%) and negative ROE (-0.74%) signal deep operational inefficiency
73.5% YoY revenue decline and -230% Q/Q EPS growth reflect severe business contraction
Insider selling of $19.7M in six months, including large sales by CEO and major shareholder, signals loss of confidence
No analyst consensus or target price data, and 52-week high of $39.07 is far above current price, indicating lack of institutional conviction
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
30
Weak
55
20
40
35
0
AI Verdict
bearish
Key drivers: Severe revenue and earnings contraction, Negative profitability and operating margins, High insider selling activity, Weak Piotroski F-Score, Lack of analyst coverage and consensus
Confidence
90%
Value
55/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Book of 0.41 suggests deep undervaluation on book value
- Low market cap ($0.30B) may offer speculative upside if turnaround occurs
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available
- Forward P/E of -18.72 indicates earnings are negative and worsening
- Price/Sales of 3.66 is high relative to peers and negative earnings
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- One positive earnings surprise in last four quarters (Q2 2025)
- High gross margin may support future profitability if revenue stabilizes
Watchpoints
- 73.5% YoY revenue decline and -230% Q/Q EPS growth indicate ongoing deterioration
- No forward guidance or positive growth indicators
- Negative earnings and declining sales suggest continued pressure
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong liquidity ratios (current ratio 3.32, quick ratio 2.65)
- Minimal debt (debt/equity 0.02)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates financial instability
- Negative ROE (-0.74%) and ROA (-1.58%) show poor capital efficiency
- Three consecutive quarters with earnings misses or massive negative surprises
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Extremely low debt/equity ratio (0.02)
- High current and quick ratios indicate strong short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 is below the threshold for strong health (7-9)
- No Altman Z-Score available, but negative earnings and revenue decline suggest distress risk
- Operating margin of -190.65% is unsustainable
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- Dividend strength score of 0/100 indicates no dividend policy
- Negative earnings make dividend sustainability impossible
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$9.64
Analyst Target
$19.67
Upside/Downside
+104.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AIRO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-06
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AIRO
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
-59.8% | -59.8% | -59.8% | -53.0% | -10.2% | -6.3% |
|
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.2% | -12.1% | -22.0% | -12.4% | -13.2% | -2.9% |
|
ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
Peer
|
-79.0% | -64.0% | -67.2% | -50.8% | +28.6% | +10.1% |
|
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
Peer
|
-52.4% | -57.1% | +9.0% | +19.1% | +4.5% | -0.7% |
|
ACCO
ACCO Brands Corporation
Peer
|
-40.4% | -21.1% | -19.6% | +2.5% | +6.5% | -2.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-18.72
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.41
P/S Ratio
3.66
EV/Revenue
2.83
EV/EBITDA
-36.05
Market Cap
$301.77M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-5.85%
Operating Margin
-190.65%
Gross Margin
63.78%
ROE
-0.74%
ROA
-1.58%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-73.5%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.02
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.32
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.65
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.67
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-31
$N/A
2025-11-14
$-0.39
-3833.2% surprise
2025-08-13
$0.3
+322.2% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AIRO against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(5 bullish, 62 neutral, 55 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-0.74%
This Stock
vs
7.57%
Sector Avg
-109.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-5.85%
This Stock
vs
58.43%
Sector Avg
-110.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.02
This Stock
vs
5.2
Sector Avg
-99.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-73.5%
This Stock
vs
24.48%
Sector Avg
-400.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.32
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
+25.0%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AIRO
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $301.77M | - | -0.7% | -5.9% | $9.64 | |
|
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $311.94M | 67.33 | 2.0% | 1.6% | $6.06 | |
|
ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $315.71M | - | -75.1% | -86.5% | $3.82 | |
|
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
|
BEARISH | $353.89M | 68.18 | 1.4% | 1.7% | $7.5 | |
|
ACCO
ACCO Brands Corporation
|
BEARISH | $354.24M | 9.59 | 6.4% | 2.6% | $3.93 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | UCZEKAJ JOHN S. | President | Sale | 183 | $1,725 |
| 2025-09-15 | BUSH GERALD S | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 17,500 | - |
| 2025-09-15 | UCZEKAJ JOHN S. | President | Stock Award | 2,306 | - |
| 2025-09-15 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV M.D. | Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner | Stock Award | 10,000 | - |
| 2025-09-12 | BUSH GERALD S | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 179,800 | $3,126,722 |
| 2025-09-12 | NEW GENERATION AEROSPACE, LLC | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 405,634 | $7,053,975 |
| 2025-09-12 | UCZEKAJ JOHN S. | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 38,125 | $662,994 |
| 2025-09-12 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV M.D. | Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner | Sale | 509,367 | $8,857,892 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Mizuho
2026-01-05
Outperform
Outperform
BTIG
2025-11-24
Buy
Buy
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-11-21
Overweight
Overweight
Mizuho
2025-11-17
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AIRO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.