ALCO Alico, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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ALCO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Defensive
Farm Products
Current Price
Live
$38.52
Analyst Target
$43.0
+11.6%
Upside
52W High
$43.2
52W Low
$27.61
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$294.9M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-80.8%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.82
Dividend yield
0.52%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
ALCO's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates poor operational and financial health, with negative margins, losses across all profitability metrics, and a staggering -88.8% revenue decline. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk, while the Graham Number and intrinsic value are unavailable, suggesting no reliable fundamental valuation anchor. Despite a modest dividend yield and a 'strong_buy' analyst consensus, the company's persistent losses, negative cash flows, and deteriorating earnings trends undermine any positive sentiment. The technical trend is bearish, and insider activity is neutral, offering no conviction signal.
Key Strengths
Current ratio of 14.39 indicates strong short-term liquidity
Quick ratio of 10.70 suggests robust liquid asset coverage
Recent quarter showed a 78.8% Q/Q EPS improvement, signaling potential turnaround
Analyst consensus remains 'strong_buy' despite poor fundamentals
Historical earnings surprises have occasionally been positive, indicating some earnings volatility potential
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial distress and weak operational performance
Negative operating margin (-436.99%) and gross margin (-66.76%) reflect severe profitability issues
ROE of -80.76% and ROA of -6.65% indicate inefficient use of capital and equity
Revenue declined 88.8% YoY, with no signs of recovery in recent quarters
Forward P/E of -104.09 and negative earnings suggest no current profitability, making valuation metrics unreliable
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
20
Weak
15
18
25
10
30
AI Verdict
High Risk
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, Negative profitability across all metrics, Massive revenue decline, No Altman Z-Score (potential distress risk), Bearish technical trend
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
- Price/Book of 2.96 is high relative to negative earnings
- Price/Sales of 10.15 is extremely elevated for a loss-making company
- Forward P/E of -104.09 invalidates traditional valuation
Future
18/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Q/Q EPS growth of +78.8% suggests possible earnings recovery
- Recent earnings surprises have occasionally been positive
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is -88.8% YoY
- Earnings growth is -95.7% YoY
- No forward guidance or positive growth trends in recent quarters
- Negative operating cash flow and free cash flow
Past
25/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical earnings have shown volatility with occasional positive surprises
- Some quarters have beaten estimates, including a +168% surprise in 2022
Watchpoints
- 25 quarters of earnings data show 19 negative surprises
- Average surprise over last 4 quarters is -193.93%
- Multiple quarters with earnings shortfalls exceeding 100%
- Persistent losses and declining revenue trends
Health
10/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- High current and quick ratios suggest strong liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.82 is moderate, not excessively leveraged
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness
- No Altman Z-Score available, raising bankruptcy risk concerns
- Negative ROE, ROA, and ROIC signal poor capital efficiency
- Operating and gross margins are deeply negative
Dividend
30/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 0.52% is modest but consistent
- Payout ratio of 21.98% is sustainable given current earnings
Watchpoints
- Dividend is not supported by earnings (company is loss-making)
- No 5-year average yield available, limiting trend analysis
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak sustainability
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$38.52
Analyst Target
$43.0
Upside/Downside
+11.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALCO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALCO
Alico, Inc.
Primary
|
+39.8% | +55.7% | +38.2% | +13.6% | -6.0% | -4.2% |
|
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
Peer
|
+163.5% | +163.5% | +163.5% | +163.5% | +38.7% | -12.0% |
|
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
Peer
|
-4.0% | -13.3% | +13.6% | +14.5% | -3.0% | -1.3% |
|
BGS
B&G Foods, Inc.
Peer
|
-79.7% | -56.7% | -21.4% | +6.6% | +1.4% | +0.5% |
|
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences Inc.
Peer
|
-66.2% | -26.8% | +6.9% | -26.0% | +0.1% | +15.0% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-104.09
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.96
P/S Ratio
10.15
EV/Revenue
12.06
EV/EBITDA
-22.65
Market Cap
$294.9M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
N/A
Operating Margin
-436.99%
Gross Margin
-66.76%
ROE
-80.76%
ROA
-6.65%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-88.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.82
Moderate
Current Ratio
14.39
Strong
Quick Ratio
10.7
Excellent
Cash/Share
$4.54
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-12
$N/A
2026-02-04
$-0.45
-20.0% surprise
2025-11-24
$-2.12
-442.8% surprise
2025-08-12
$-2.39
-119.0% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing ALCO against 48 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(2 bullish, 27 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-80.76%
This Stock
vs
4.7%
Sector Avg
-1817.6%
(Below Avg)
Debt to Equity
0.82
This Stock
vs
1.71
Sector Avg
-52.3%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-88.8%
This Stock
vs
8.8%
Sector Avg
-1109.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
14.39
This Stock
vs
1.98
Sector Avg
+625.0%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALCO
Alico, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $294.9M | - | -80.8% | -% | $38.52 | |
|
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
|
BEARISH | $316.83M | 398.5 | -% | 24.5% | $15.94 | |
|
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
|
BEARISH | $256.91M | - | -156.4% | -11.1% | $9.55 | |
|
BGS
B&G Foods, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $352.82M | - | -40.9% | -13.6% | $4.41 | |
|
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences Inc.
|
BEARISH | $127.16M | - | -200.2% | -36.3% | $5.61 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | KRUSEN W ANDREW JR | Director | Stock Award | 344 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | FISHMAN BENJAMIN D | Director | Stock Award | 344 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | PURSE TOBY K | Director | Stock Award | 585 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | PUTNAM ADAM H | Director | Stock Award | 859 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | ENGLISH KATHERINE R | Director | Stock Award | 550 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | KRUSEN W ANDREW JR | Director | Stock Award | 560 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | FISHMAN BENJAMIN D | Director | Stock Award | 560 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | PURSE TOBY K | Director | Stock Award | 635 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | PUTNAM ADAM H | Director | Stock Award | 933 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | ENGLISH KATHERINE R | Director | Stock Award | 598 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ALCO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.