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ALCO

BEARISH
$38.52 Live
Alico, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $43.0 (+11.6%)
$27.61 52W Range $43.2

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
88%
ALCO's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates poor operational and financial health, with negative margins, losses across all profitability metrics, and a staggering -88.8% revenue decline. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk, while the Graham Number and intrinsic value are unavailable, suggesting no reliable fundamental valuation anchor. Despite a modest dividend yield and a 'strong_buy' analyst consensus, the company's persistent losses, negative cash flows, and deteriorating earnings trends undermine any positive sentiment. The technical trend is bearish, and insider activity is neutral, offering no conviction signal.

Key Strengths

Current ratio of 14.39 indicates strong short-term liquidity
Quick ratio of 10.70 suggests robust liquid asset coverage
Recent quarter showed a 78.8% Q/Q EPS improvement, signaling potential turnaround
Analyst consensus remains 'strong_buy' despite poor fundamentals
Historical earnings surprises have occasionally been positive, indicating some earnings volatility potential

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial distress and weak operational performance
Negative operating margin (-436.99%) and gross margin (-66.76%) reflect severe profitability issues
ROE of -80.76% and ROA of -6.65% indicate inefficient use of capital and equity
Revenue declined 88.8% YoY, with no signs of recovery in recent quarters
Forward P/E of -104.09 and negative earnings suggest no current profitability, making valuation metrics unreliable

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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