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ALGM

BEARISH
$31.13 Live
Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $45.83 (+47.2%)
$16.38 52W Range $43.86

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$5.77B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-1.4%
Profit margin
-1.6%
Debt/Equity
0.32
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ALGM's deterministic health scores signal significant financial distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak operational and financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concerns about bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth (28.9% YoY) and positive earnings momentum (114.3% YoY EPS growth), the company reports negative profit margins (-1.57%) and ROE (-1.36%), undermining profitability sustainability. Insider selling totaling $1.65M over six months and a bearish technical trend further erode confidence. The stock trades at a premium valuation (Forward P/E: 33.05, Price/Sales: 6.87) relative to its weak fundamentals, suggesting overvaluation.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth of 28.9% YoY indicates market expansion and demand for products
Positive year-over-year EPS growth of 114.3% reflects improving earnings momentum
Healthy gross margin of 45.13% suggests strong pricing power and cost control
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32 indicates conservative capital structure
High current ratio (3.65) and quick ratio (1.81) signal strong short-term liquidity

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial and operational weaknesses
Negative profit margin (-1.57%) and ROE (-1.36%) suggest poor profitability and capital efficiency
Insider selling of $1.65M in last 6 months signals lack of confidence from leadership
No Altman Z-Score available, raising unquantified bankruptcy risk
Stock trades at a premium valuation (Forward P/E: 33.05, Price/Sales: 6.87) despite weak profitability

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
31
Weak
Value
30
Future
65
Past
42
Health
20
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative profitability metrics, Bearish insider activity, High valuation relative to fundamentals
Confidence
88%
Value
30/100

Valuation metrics suggest premium pricing, unsupported by current profitability; stock trades at a significant premium relative to peers and its own fundamentals.

Positives
  • Strong revenue growth (28.9% YoY)
  • High gross margin (45.13%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative profit margin (-1.57%)
  • Forward P/E of 33.05 is elevated
  • Price/Sales of 6.87 is high for a loss-making firm
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available
Future
65/100

Strong growth momentum is evident, but inconsistent earnings surprises and lack of forward metrics limit confidence in sustained future performance.

Positives
  • 114.3% YoY EPS growth
  • 15.4% Q/Q EPS growth
  • 28.9% YoY revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Lack of forward earnings guidance
  • No PEG ratio available
  • Historical earnings volatility (e.g., -3465% surprise in 2025-07)
Past
42/100

Historical earnings track record shows volatility and inconsistency, with recent quarters showing severe misses despite prior strength.

Positives
  • Consistent beat rate in earlier quarters (14/22 quarters beat)
  • Improving EPS trend from 2021 to 2026
Watchpoints
  • Two recent quarters with massive negative surprises (e.g., -3465.4%)
  • Inconsistent earnings delivery (only 2/4 last quarters beat estimates)
  • Negative ROE and ROA over multiple periods
Health
20/100

Despite strong liquidity, the company exhibits deep operational and financial health issues, with Piotroski F-Score indicating high risk of deterioration.

Positives
  • Low debt-to-equity (0.32)
  • High current and quick ratios (3.65, 1.81)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (extremely weak)
  • No Altman Z-Score available (raises distress risk)
  • Negative ROE (-1.36%) and ROA (0.28%)
  • Negative profit margin (-1.57%)
Dividend
0/100

The company does not pay dividends, which is typical for high-growth tech firms, but absence of any dividend policy further reflects reinvestment focus rather than shareholder returns.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout
  • Payout ratio of 0.00%
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$31.13
Analyst Target
$45.83
Upside/Downside
+47.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALGM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ALG
Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+15.8%
3Y
-31.1%
1Y
+18.6%
6M
+4.5%
1M
-27.3%
1W
-2.5%
G
Genpact Limited
Peer
5Y
-18.4%
3Y
-17.7%
1Y
-27.3%
6M
-12.7%
1M
-8.9%
1W
-7.1%
CIF
Cipher Digital Inc.
Peer
5Y
+34.7%
3Y
+451.6%
1Y
+528.2%
6M
-11.1%
1M
-2.1%
1W
+8.9%
OTE
Open Text Corporation
Peer
5Y
-46.4%
3Y
-34.7%
1Y
-6.4%
6M
-39.8%
1M
+3.5%
1W
+7.2%
DBX
Dropbox, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-14.8%
3Y
+11.9%
1Y
-7.3%
6M
-18.9%
1M
-11.7%
1W
+3.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
33.05
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.99
P/S Ratio
6.87
EV/Revenue
7.05
EV/EBITDA
82.13
Market Cap
$5.77B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -1.57%
Operating Margin 4.18%
Gross Margin 45.13%
ROE -1.36%
ROA 0.28%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +28.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.32
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.65
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.81
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.84

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-01-29
$0.15
+4.1% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.13
+5.4% surprise
2025-07-31
$-0.07
-3465.4% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ALGM against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.36%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
-95.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.57%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
-86.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.32
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-57.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
28.9%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-99.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.65
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
+1.9% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BRIANSKY SHARON J.D.
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-02
9,727 shares · $340,445
HAGEN ERIN
Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
2,598 shares · $90,930
BRIANSKY SHARON J.D.
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-17
9,258 shares · $384,762
BRIANSKY SHARON J.D.
General Counsel
Sell
2025-12-10
27,873 shares · $836,190
COLEMAN TROY
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-11
73,530 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
12 analysts
Needham
2026-02-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-13
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-02-11
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Jefferies
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
TD Cowen
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-30
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Needham
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALGM from our newsroom.

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