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ALGN

NEUTRAL
$164.23 Live
Align Technology, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $201.57 (+22.7%)
$122.0 52W Range $208.31

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$11.78B
P/E
29.07
ROE
10.4%
Profit margin
10.2%
Debt/Equity
0.03
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
ALGN's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling potential operational inefficiencies despite stable profitability. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, though the company's extremely low debt/equity ratio (0.03) and strong liquidity support financial stability. The stock trades near its intrinsic value of $166.68 but at a premium to the Graham Number ($84.93), reflecting high growth expectations. Analysts maintain a 'buy' consensus with a target price of $201.57, suggesting upside, though recent insider selling and inconsistent earnings surprises temper enthusiasm.

Key Strengths

Strong gross margin of 69.80% indicates pricing power and efficient production
Low debt/equity ratio (0.03) reflects conservative capital structure and strong financial health
High operating margin (22.38%) and solid ROE (10.39%) demonstrate effective cost management and profitability
Significant earnings growth (35.6% YoY) and strong Q/Q EPS growth (+321.8%) signal robust top-line momentum
Analyst consensus remains bullish with a $201.57 target, implying 22.7% upside from current price

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below the threshold for strong financial health, indicating potential red flags in operational efficiency or capital allocation
Recent insider selling (1 transaction, $1.51M) suggests possible lack of confidence among executives
Earnings surprise history shows inconsistency, with recent misses (e.g., -39.3% in Q3 2025) and volatility in performance
Current price ($164.23) is nearly double the Graham Number ($84.93), indicating high valuation relative to conservative intrinsic value
52-week high is $208.31, and the stock has declined 70.6% over 5 years, reflecting long-term underperformance despite recent rebound
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$166.68
+1.5% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
46
Moderate
Value
55
Future
78
Past
52
Health
45
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Strong profitability and low leverage, High growth in earnings and revenue, Weak Piotroski F-Score and inconsistent earnings surprises, High valuation relative to Graham Number
Confidence
75%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $166.68 aligns closely with current price
  • Forward P/E of 13.39 is attractive relative to current P/E of 29.07
Watchpoints
  • Current price is 92% above Graham Number ($84.93), indicating significant premium
  • Price/Sales of 2.92 is elevated for a healthcare stock
Future
78/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 35.6% YoY earnings growth and 30.8% Q/Q earnings growth show strong momentum
  • Forward P/E of 13.39 suggests market expects continued growth
Watchpoints
  • PEG ratio not available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation assessment
  • Recent earnings misses (e.g., -39.3%) indicate execution risk
Past
52/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent profitability with stable gross and operating margins
  • Positive long-term revenue growth trend (5.3% YoY)
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price decline of 70.6% reflects poor capital appreciation
  • Inconsistent earnings surprises, including multiple negative misses
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Extremely low debt/equity (0.03) and strong current/quick ratios (1.36, 1.17)
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low leverage reduces distress risk
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below the stable threshold (4-6), indicating weak financial health
  • Lack of positive signals in cash flow and asset turnover may be hidden
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid, payout ratio is 0%
  • Dividend yield and rate are not applicable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$164.23
Analyst Target
$201.57
Upside/Downside
+22.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALGN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ALG
Align Technology, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-70.6%
3Y
-48.8%
1Y
+2.3%
6M
+24.8%
1M
-16.9%
1W
-5.6%
EXE
Exelixis, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+91.2%
3Y
+119.8%
1Y
+29.5%
6M
+14.4%
1M
+4.3%
1W
+0.4%
JAZ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc
Peer
5Y
+19.7%
3Y
+32.4%
1Y
+90.3%
6M
+43.4%
1M
+4.7%
1W
+3.9%
MDG
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+334.6%
3Y
+119.2%
1Y
+63.1%
6M
+22.9%
1M
+18.2%
1W
-1.5%
GH
Guardant Health, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-43.8%
3Y
+265.0%
1Y
+98.7%
6M
+33.6%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-7.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
29.07
Forward P/E
13.39
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.89
P/S Ratio
2.92
EV/Revenue
2.66
EV/EBITDA
12.6
Market Cap
$11.78B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 10.17%
Operating Margin 22.38%
Gross Margin 69.8%
ROE 10.39%
ROA 6.94%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.3%
Earnings Growth +35.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +30.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.03
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.36
Good
Quick Ratio
1.17
Good
Cash/Share
$15.36

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-04
$3.29
+10.8% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.78
-39.3% surprise
2025-07-30
$2.49
-3.3% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ALGN against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
P/E Ratio
29.07
This Stock
vs
75.44
Sector Avg
-61.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.39%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-111.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
10.17%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
-162.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.03
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-98.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.3%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-95.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.36
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
-69.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HOGAN JOSEPH M
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
40,248 shares
HOCKRIDGE STUART A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
4,310 shares
MORICI JOHN F.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
7,848 shares
COLETTI JULIE ANN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
5,864 shares
MORICI JOHN F.
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
7,969 shares · $1,508,646
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
Barclays
2026-02-26
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
HSBC
2026-02-09
up
Hold Buy
Stifel
2026-02-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-02-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2026-02-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-05
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-05
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2026-01-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2025-12-09
init
Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALGN from our newsroom.

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